Veikkausliiga
AC OuluHomeLWWDW
2:0Half-time 1:0
KuPSAwayWLDDL252550
AC Oulu winDrawKuPS win
AC OuluHomeLWWDWKuPSAwayWLDDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.98 1.20 : 1.78
- Favourite
- 51% KuPS
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
AC Oulu vs KuPS odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.92 | 3.90 | 1.79 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.21 | 3.81 | 1.76 | 1.66 | 2.14 | 1.65 | 2.17 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
KuPS to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best AC Oulu price at 4.21, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.90 and 1xBet have KuPS longest at 1.79.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.66 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (22Bet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
51%
Our prediction
KuPS to win
Double chanceAC Oulu or KuPS (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time KuPS, full-time KuPS
32% chance3.15fairLost
AC Oulu v KuPS head to head
1AC Oulu wins
0Draws
0KuPS wins
- 8 Oct 26KuPS0:1AC Oulu
1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: AC Oulu scored 1, KuPS scored 0.
AC Oulu vs KuPS odds movement
AC Oulu win4.21-0.13
Draw3.90-0.12
KuPS win1.79-0.05
Over 2.5 goals1.66-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.25-0.13
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
AC Oulu vs KuPS prediction
Our AC Oulu vs KuPS prediction and pick
AC Oulu host KuPS on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Veikkausliiga, and the model has KuPS at 51%, the draw at 25% and AC Oulu at 25%: that is the AC Oulu vs KuPS prediction in one line.
AC Oulu are expected to score 1.20 and KuPS 1.78, so the total line is 2.98 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is kuPS to win at 51%. At 1.79 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 51% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
AC Oulu or KuPS (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 75% chance, priced 1.24.
AC Oulu average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, KuPS 1.0 and 1.4 across 5.
AC Oulu vs KuPS goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.66 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 58%: AC Oulu find the net in 70% of simulated matches and KuPS in 83%. AC Oulu keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and KuPS 30%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for AC Oulu vs KuPS: 1-1 (10.8%), 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time KuPS, full-time KuPS leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, AC Oulu vs KuPS
The grid built from 1.20 and 1.78 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
AC Oulu to win25%4.21
Draw25%3.90
KuPS to win51%1.79
AC Oulu, draw no bet33%fair 3.03
KuPS, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
AC Oulu or draw50%2.00
KuPS or draw75%1.23
AC Oulu or KuPS (no draw)75%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.66
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.25
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.65
Not both teams to score42%2.28
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
AC Oulu to score70%fair 1.43
KuPS to score83%fair 1.20
AC Oulu clean sheet17%fair 5.92
KuPS clean sheet30%fair 3.32
AC Oulu to win to nil16%fair 6.45
KuPS to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
1-29.7%
0-19%
0-28%
2-16.5%
1-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
KuPS / KuPS31.7%
Draw / KuPS16.2%
AC Oulu / AC Oulu14.6%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Draw / AC Oulu9.3%
Questions about AC Oulu vs KuPS
AC Oulu or KuPS: which side does the model back?
The model gives KuPS the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in AC Oulu vs KuPS?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs KuPS?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. AC Oulu find the net in 70% of simulated matches and KuPS in 83%.
When do AC Oulu play KuPS?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.