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Veikkausliiga Championship Group - 30 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
KuPSHomeWLDDL
1:1Half-time 1:0
GnistanAwayDLLLD
652015
KuPS winDrawGnistan win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
3.07
2.15 : 0.92
Favourite
65%
KuPS
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Best odds for KuPS vs Gnistan

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.454.556.221.592.271.722.01Bet
22Bet1.494.226.171.602.251.712.06Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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KuPS to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for KuPS vs Gnistan are 1.49 for KuPS at 22Bet, 4.55 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.22 for Gnistan at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.72 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

65%

Our prediction

KuPS to win
BankerExpected goals 2.15 : 0.92-2.7% against the best price
Double chanceKuPS or draw
85% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time KuPS, full-time KuPS
43% chance2.32fair

KuPS v Gnistan head to head

0KuPS wins
1Draw
0Gnistan wins
  • 8 Sep 26Gnistan1:1KuPS

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: KuPS scored 1, Gnistan scored 1.

KuPS vs Gnistan prediction

KuPS vs Gnistan prediction and best bet

KuPS vs Gnistan prediction for the Veikkausliiga on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes KuPS the clear favourite at 65%, with the draw at 20% and Gnistan at 15%.

KuPS are expected to score 2.15 and Gnistan 0.92, so the total line is 3.07 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is kuPS to win at 65%. The best price in our comparison is 1.49 at 22Bet, which implies 67%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

KuPS or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.10.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: KuPS have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Gnistan 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 10.

How many goals in KuPS vs Gnistan? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 22Bet pay 1.60.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. KuPS score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Gnistan; Gnistan score in 60% while KuPS shut them out 40% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for KuPS vs Gnistan: 2-0 (10.7%), 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time KuPS, full-time KuPS leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for KuPS vs Gnistan

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for KuPS vs Gnistan, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

KuPS to win65%1.49
Draw20%4.55
Gnistan to win15%6.22
KuPS, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Gnistan, draw no bet19%fair 5.32

Double chance

KuPS or draw85%1.10
Gnistan or draw35%2.63
KuPS or Gnistan (no draw)80%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.60
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.29
Under 2.5 goals41%2.27
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.72
Not both teams to score47%2.06

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.49
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23

Team goals

KuPS to score88%fair 1.13
Gnistan to score60%fair 1.66
KuPS clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Gnistan clean sheet12%fair 8.62
KuPS to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Gnistan to win to nil11%fair 9.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.7%
1-010%
2-19.9%
1-19.2%
3-07.7%
3-17.1%

Half-time / full-time

KuPS / KuPS43.1%
Draw / KuPS19.1%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Gnistan / Gnistan8.2%
Draw / Gnistan5.7%

Questions about KuPS vs Gnistan

Who will win KuPS vs Gnistan?

The model gives KuPS the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in KuPS vs Gnistan?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in KuPS vs Gnistan?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. KuPS find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Gnistan in 60%.

When do KuPS play Gnistan?

KuPS vs Gnistan starts at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, KuPS v GnistanKuPS to win, 65%
1.49Bet