Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction

Our Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction and pick

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction for the Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, Crystal Palace 35%, draw 26%, Newcastle 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.56 for Crystal Palace and 1.66 for Newcastle, a total of 3.22, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is crystal Palace or Newcastle (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Over the last 5 matches Crystal Palace stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Newcastle show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.70 at Betwinner.

Both teams to score is 65%: Crystal Palace find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Newcastle in 81%. Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Newcastle 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%, followed by 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Newcastle, full-time Newcastle leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.