Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction

Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction and best bet

Chelsea are a narrow favourite in the Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction, rated 52% to win this Premier League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Tottenham sit at 24% and the draw at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.93 for Chelsea and 1.28 for Tottenham, a total of 3.21, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 64%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Chelsea to win is the main selection, rated 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.97 at 1xBet, which implies 51%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.

Chelsea or Tottenham (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.31.

Chelsea average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Tottenham 2.0 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Chelsea vs Tottenham with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Chelsea vs Tottenham reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.56.

Both teams to score is 64%: Chelsea find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Tottenham in 72%. Chelsea keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Tottenham 15%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (7.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Chelsea, full-time Chelsea is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.