Premier League
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Manchester UnitedHomeLDLLL
Sun 8 Nov
Aston VillaAwayWWWLD422533
Manchester United winDrawAston Villa win
Premier League
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Manchester UnitedHomeLDLLLAston VillaAwayWWWLD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.08 1.64 : 1.44
- Favourite
- 42% Manchester United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Manchester United vs Aston Villa
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.94 | 3.02 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.48 | 2.50 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.24 | 3.80 | 2.91 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.48 | 2.50 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.22 | 3.70 | 2.92 | 1.57 | 2.34 | 1.47 | 2.48 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.32 | 3.95 | 3.02 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.48 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.32 | 3.95 | 3.02 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.48 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.14 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.54 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 2.40 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Manchester United to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction: Manchester United 2.32 (Melbet), draw 3.95 (Melbet), Aston Villa 3.02 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.64 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.47 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Melbet) and no 2.50 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Manchester United or Aston Villa (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Manchester United, full-time Manchester United
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair
Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction
Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction, who wins and at what price
Manchester United host Aston Villa on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Premier League, and the model has Manchester United at 42%, the draw at 25% and Aston Villa at 33%: that is the Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.64 for Manchester United and 1.44 for Aston Villa, a total of 3.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Manchester United vs Aston Villa is manchester United or Aston Villa (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.31 with Betwinner the market prices it at 76%, against 75% from the model.
Form check: Manchester United have won 0 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 12 conceded, Aston Villa 3 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
How many goals in Manchester United vs Aston Villa? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.64 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. Manchester United score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Aston Villa; Aston Villa score in 76% while Manchester United shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 2-1 at 8.9% and 1-2 at 7.8%.
With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Manchester United vs Aston Villa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Manchester United, full-time Manchester United leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Manchester United vs Aston Villa
The grid built from 1.64 and 1.44 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Manchester United to win42%2.32
Draw25%3.95
Aston Villa to win33%3.02
Manchester United, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Aston Villa, draw no bet44%fair 2.27
Double chance
Manchester United or draw67%1.46
Aston Villa or draw58%1.71
Manchester United or Aston Villa (no draw)75%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.64
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.70
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 2.5 goals41%2.47
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.48
Not both teams to score37%2.50
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.48
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23
Team goals
Manchester United to score81%fair 1.24
Aston Villa to score76%fair 1.31
Manchester United clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Aston Villa clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Manchester United to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Aston Villa to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%
1-07.5%
0-16.6%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Manchester United / Manchester United25.7%
Aston Villa / Aston Villa19.9%
Draw / Manchester United13.9%
Draw / Draw13.1%
Draw / Aston Villa11.5%
Questions about Manchester United vs Aston Villa
Who is favourite in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
The model gives Manchester United the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Manchester United find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Aston Villa in 76%.
When is Manchester United vs Aston Villa and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.