Nottingham ForestHomeLLLDL
Manchester CityAwayWWLDL
Nottingham ForestHomeLLLDL
Manchester CityAwayWWLDL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.83 | 4.36 | 1.73 | 1.69 | 2.36 | 1.61 | 2.20 | Bet | |
| 4.66 | 4.20 | 1.66 | 1.63 | 2.28 | 1.61 | 2.20 | Bet | |
| 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 1.60 | 2.28 | 1.60 | 2.20 | Bet | |
| 4.83 | 4.37 | 1.73 | 1.69 | 2.36 | 1.61 | 2.20 | Bet | |
| 4.83 | 4.37 | 1.73 | 1.69 | 2.36 | 1.61 | 2.20 | Bet | |
| 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.64 | 1.57 | 2.26 | 1.60 | 2.15 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Melbet pay the best Nottingham Forest price at 4.83, Melbet lead the draw at 4.37 and 1xBet have Manchester City longest at 1.73.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.69 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.36 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (22Bet) and no 2.20 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Manchester City are a narrow favourite in the Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction, rated 56% to win this Premier League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Nottingham Forest sit at 21% and the draw at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.10 for Nottingham Forest and 1.91 for Manchester City, a total of 3.01, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City is manchester City to win, a 56% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.73 at 1xBet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Manchester City or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.24.
Nottingham Forest average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Manchester City 2.2 and 1.6 across 5.
On the goal lines Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City reads 80% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; Melbet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Nottingham Forest scoring in 67% of runs and Manchester City in 85%; clean sheets come at 15% for Nottingham Forest and 33% for Manchester City.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: 1-1 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Manchester City, full-time Manchester City is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
The grid built from 1.10 and 1.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Manchester City the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Nottingham Forest find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Manchester City in 85%.
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.