Premier League
Round 10 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
FulhamHomeLWWLD
Sat 7 Nov
NewcastleAwayWLLWL442630
Fulham winDrawNewcastle win
Premier League
Round 10 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
FulhamHomeLWWLDNewcastleAwayWLLWL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.98 1.65 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 44% Fulham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Fulham vs Newcastle odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.84 | 3.22 | 1.74 | 2.27 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.17 | 3.70 | 3.11 | 1.68 | 2.18 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.14 | 3.55 | 3.15 | 1.64 | 2.20 | 1.52 | 2.36 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.25 | 3.84 | 3.22 | 1.74 | 2.27 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.25 | 3.84 | 3.22 | 1.74 | 2.27 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.09 | 3.65 | 3.15 | 1.59 | 2.22 | 1.52 | 2.31 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fulham to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Fulham vs Newcastle are 2.25 for Fulham at 1xBet, 3.84 for the draw at Melbet and 3.22 for Newcastle at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (22Bet) and no 2.36 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Fulham or Newcastle (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fulham, full-time Fulham
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
Fulham vs Newcastle prediction
Fulham vs Newcastle prediction and best bet
Fulham host Newcastle on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Premier League, and the model has Fulham at 44%, the draw at 26% and Newcastle at 30%: that is the Fulham vs Newcastle prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.65 for Fulham and 1.33 for Newcastle, a total of 2.98, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fulham or Newcastle (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
Form check: Fulham have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 4 conceded, Newcastle 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Fulham vs Newcastle
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; Melbet pay 1.74.
Both teams to score is 60%: Fulham find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Newcastle in 74%. Fulham keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Newcastle 19%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Fulham vs Newcastle: 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Fulham, full-time Fulham is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Fulham vs Newcastle
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 26% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Fulham to win44%2.25
Draw26%3.84
Newcastle to win30%3.22
Fulham, draw no bet59%fair 1.68
Newcastle, draw no bet41%fair 2.46
Double chance
Fulham or draw70%1.42
Newcastle or draw56%1.75
Fulham or Newcastle (no draw)74%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.27
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.36
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Fulham to score81%fair 1.24
Newcastle to score74%fair 1.36
Fulham clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Newcastle clean sheet19%fair 5.21
Fulham to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Newcastle to win to nil18%fair 5.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.4%
1-27.4%
2-06.9%
0-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Fulham / Fulham27.4%
Newcastle / Newcastle18%
Draw / Fulham14.7%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Newcastle10.8%
Questions about Fulham vs Newcastle
Who is favourite in Fulham vs Newcastle?
The model gives Fulham the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Fulham vs Newcastle correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Fulham vs Newcastle?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Fulham find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Newcastle in 74%.
When do Fulham play Newcastle?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.