Champions League
Matchday 3 Wednesday, 21 October 2026
FT
Aston VillaHomeWWWLD
3:1Half-time 2:0
VikingAwayDWLWL78139
Aston Villa winDrawViking win
Champions League
Matchday 3 Wednesday, 21 October 2026
FT
Aston VillaHomeWWWLDVikingAwayDWLWL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.12 3.10 : 1.02
- Favourite
- 78% Aston Villa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Aston Villa vs Viking
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.31 | 6.75 | 9.70 | 1.23 | 3.64 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Aston Villa to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Aston Villa vs Viking are 1.31 for Aston Villa at 1xBet, 6.75 for the draw at 1xBet and 9.70 for Viking at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.23 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.64 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.32 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
78%
Our prediction
Aston Villa to win
Double chanceAston Villa or draw
91% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
76% chance1.23
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-1
8% chance12.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aston Villa, full-time Aston Villa
56% chance1.78fair
Aston Villa vs Viking prediction
Aston Villa vs Viking prediction and best bet
The Aston Villa vs Viking prediction leans to Aston Villa: 78% against 9% for Viking, with 13% left for the draw, in the Champions League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 4.12 in total, split 3.10 to Aston Villa and 1.02 to Viking. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 76% and both teams to score 61%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Aston Villa to win is the main selection, rated 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
For a safer line, aston Villa or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.10.
The draw sits at only 13%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Aston Villa average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Viking 2.4 and 2.4 across 5.
Goals forecast for Aston Villa vs Viking with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 92%, over 2.5 at 76%, over 3.5 at 59%; under 2.5 is 24% and under 3.5 is 41%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 76%; 1xBet pay 1.23.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Aston Villa scoring in 96% of runs and Viking in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Aston Villa and 5% for Viking.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 3-1 leads at 8.2%, then 3-0 at 8.1% and 2-1 at 8%.
With the top scoreline at 8.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Aston Villa vs Viking; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Aston Villa, full-time Aston Villa is the top combination at 56%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 84%.
All markets, Aston Villa vs Viking
The grid built from 3.10 and 1.02 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Aston Villa to win78%1.31
Draw13%6.75
Viking to win9%9.70
Aston Villa, draw no bet90%fair 1.12
Viking, draw no bet10%fair 9.62
Double chance
Aston Villa or draw91%1.10
Viking or draw22%3.98
Aston Villa or Viking (no draw)87%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals76%1.23
Over 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70
Over 4.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 11.76
Under 2.5 goals24%3.64
Under 3.5 goals41%fair 2.43
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.55
Not both teams to score39%2.32
Halves
First-half goal84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 first-half goals55%fair 1.81
Second-half goal90%fair 1.12
Team goals
Aston Villa to score96%fair 1.05
Viking to score64%fair 1.56
Aston Villa clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Viking clean sheet5%fair 22.22
Aston Villa to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Viking to win to nil4%fair 24.39
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
3-18.2%
3-08.1%
2-18%
2-07.8%
4-16.4%
4-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Aston Villa / Aston Villa56.3%
Draw / Aston Villa17.9%
Draw / Draw6.3%
Viking / Viking4.9%
Viking / Aston Villa4%
Questions about Aston Villa vs Viking
Aston Villa or Viking: which side does the model back?
The model gives Aston Villa the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 13%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking?
3-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 76% backs the same picture with less variance.
Aston Villa vs Viking both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Aston Villa find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Viking in 64%.
What time does Aston Villa vs Viking kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.