Premier League
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
BrightonHomeWDLDW
Sun 8 Nov
BrentfordAwayDLDLW512425
Brighton winDrawBrentford win
Premier League
Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
BrightonHomeWDLDWBrentfordAwayDLDLW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.14 1.88 : 1.26
- Favourite
- 51% Brighton
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Brighton vs Brentford
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.98 | 4.05 | 3.78 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.64 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.65 | 1.57 | 2.34 | 1.51 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.98 | 4.05 | 3.78 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.98 | 4.05 | 3.78 | 1.64 | 2.47 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.54 | 2.31 | 1.52 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Brighton to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Brighton vs Brentford are 1.98 for Brighton at Melbet, 4.05 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.78 for Brentford at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.64 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.47 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (Stake) and no 2.42 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
51%
Our prediction
Brighton to win
Double chanceBrighton or Brentford (no draw)
76% chance1.30
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Brighton, full-time Brighton
33% chance3.07fair
Brighton vs Brentford prediction
Brighton vs Brentford prediction and best bet
Brighton vs Brentford prediction for the Premier League on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Brighton a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 24% and Brentford at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 3.14 in total, split 1.88 to Brighton and 1.26 to Brentford. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 62%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Brighton to win is the main selection, rated 51%. At 1.98 with Melbet the market prices it at 50%, against 51% from the model.
For a safer line, brighton or Brentford (no draw) covers 76% of outcomes at 1.30.
Form check: Brighton have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 4 conceded, Brentford 1 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.
Goals forecast for Brighton vs Brentford with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.64.
Both teams to score is 62%: Brighton find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Brentford in 72%. Brighton keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Brentford 15%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%, followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Brighton, full-time Brighton leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Brighton vs Brentford
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 51% / 24% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Brighton to win51%1.98
Draw24%4.05
Brentford to win25%3.78
Brighton, draw no bet67%fair 1.48
Brentford, draw no bet33%fair 3.07
Double chance
Brighton or draw75%1.33
Brentford or draw49%1.96
Brighton or Brentford (no draw)76%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.64
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals40%2.47
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.52
Not both teams to score38%2.42
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Brighton to score85%fair 1.18
Brentford to score72%fair 1.40
Brighton clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Brentford clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Brighton to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Brentford to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
2-19.6%
1-08.1%
2-07.6%
1-26.5%
2-26.1%
Half-time / full-time
Brighton / Brighton32.6%
Draw / Brighton16.1%
Brentford / Brentford14.6%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Brentford9%
Questions about Brighton vs Brentford
Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?
The model gives Brighton the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Brighton vs Brentford correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.
Brighton vs Brentford both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Brighton find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Brentford in 72%.
What time does Brighton vs Brentford kick off?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.