Barrow vs Gloucester City prediction

Barrow vs Gloucester City prediction, who wins and at what price

The Barrow vs Gloucester City prediction leans to Barrow: 71% against 10% for Gloucester City, with 19% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.33 for Barrow and 0.83 for Gloucester City, a total of 3.16, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Barrow to win is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Barrow vs Gloucester City.

Barrow or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.02.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Barrow have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 4 conceded, Gloucester City 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 5.

Barrow vs Gloucester City over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.56.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Barrow scoring in 90% of runs and Gloucester City in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Barrow and 10% for Gloucester City.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Barrow vs Gloucester City: 2-0 (11.5%), 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Barrow vs Gloucester City; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Barrow, full-time Barrow leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.