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Live 11 UTC
FA Cup 4th Round Qualifying Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
AltrinchamHomeDWWDL
0:0Half-time 0:0
United of ManchesterAwayWLWDL
721711
Altrincham winDrawUnited of Manchester win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
3.47
2.53 : 0.94
Favourite
72%
Altrincham
Over 2.5 goals
66%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Altrincham vs United of Manchester

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.344.706.741.422.491.642.10Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Altrincham to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Altrincham price at 1.34, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.70 and 1xBet have United of Manchester longest at 6.74.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.49 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Altrincham to win
BankerExpected goals 2.53 : 0.94-4.1% against the best price
Double chanceAltrincham or draw
89% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Altrincham, full-time Altrincham
49% chance2.03fair

Altrincham v United of Manchester head to head

1Altrincham wins
0Draws
0United of Manchester wins
  • 20 Oct 26United of Manchester2:6Altrincham

1 meeting since coverage began, 8 goals in total: Altrincham scored 6, United of Manchester scored 2.

Altrincham vs United of Manchester odds movement

Altrincham win1.34-0.02
Draw4.70-0.30
United of Manchester win6.74-0.26
Over 2.5 goals1.42-0.02
Under 2.5 goals2.49-0.21

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Altrincham vs United of Manchester prediction

Our Altrincham vs United of Manchester prediction and pick

Altrincham vs United of Manchester prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Altrincham the clear favourite at 72%, with the draw at 17% and United of Manchester at 11%.

Expected goals are 2.53 for Altrincham and 0.94 for United of Manchester, a total of 3.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is altrincham to win at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Altrincham vs United of Manchester.

For a safer line, altrincham or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.04.

With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Altrincham stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; United of Manchester show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Altrincham vs United of Manchester over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 66%, best priced 1.42 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 57%: Altrincham find the net in 92% of simulated matches and United of Manchester in 61%. Altrincham keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and United of Manchester 8%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10%, then 2-1 at 9.4% and 3-0 at 8.4%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Altrincham, full-time Altrincham is the top combination at 49%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

Every market rated for Altrincham vs United of Manchester

The grid built from 2.53 and 0.94 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Altrincham to win72%1.34
Draw17%4.70
United of Manchester to win11%6.74
Altrincham, draw no bet86%fair 1.16
United of Manchester, draw no bet14%fair 7.30

Double chance

Altrincham or draw89%1.04
United of Manchester or draw28%2.77
Altrincham or United of Manchester (no draw)83%1.12

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.42
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 2.5 goals34%2.49
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.84

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.64
Not both teams to score43%2.10

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17

Team goals

Altrincham to score92%fair 1.09
United of Manchester to score61%fair 1.64
Altrincham clean sheet39%fair 2.56
United of Manchester clean sheet8%fair 12.50
Altrincham to win to nil36%fair 2.79
United of Manchester to win to nil7%fair 13.70

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010%
2-19.4%
3-08.4%
3-17.9%
1-07.9%
1-17.4%

Half-time / full-time

Altrincham / Altrincham49.2%
Draw / Altrincham19%
Draw / Draw8.9%
United of Manchester / United of Manchester6.5%
Draw / United of Manchester4.4%

Questions about Altrincham vs United of Manchester

Altrincham or United of Manchester: which side does the model back?

The model gives Altrincham the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Altrincham vs United of Manchester?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.

Altrincham vs United of Manchester both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Altrincham find the net in 92% of simulated matches and United of Manchester in 61%.

When do Altrincham play United of Manchester?

Altrincham vs United of Manchester starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Altrincham v United of ManchesterAltrincham to win, 72%
1.34Bet