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Primera Division Apertura - 18 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Fuerte San FranciscoHomeDWLLL
3:4Half-time 1:2
ÁguilaAwayWWDWW
182458
Fuerte San Francisco winDrawÁguila win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.68
0.90 : 1.78
Favourite
58%
Águila
Over 2.5 goals
50%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.183.541.581.871.801.861.81Bet
22Bet4.703.871.671.971.832.021.74Bet
BC.Game4.803.601.631.891.831.841.80Bet
Betwinner5.183.541.581.871.801.861.81Bet
Melbet4.703.871.671.971.832.021.74Bet
Stake4.803.701.641.841.801.841.79Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Águila to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila prediction: Fuerte San Francisco 5.18 (Betwinner), draw 3.87 (22Bet), Águila 1.67 (22Bet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.83 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.81 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

58%

Our prediction

Águila to win
StrongWonExpected goals 0.90 : 1.78-3.1% against the best price
Double chanceÁguila or draw
82% chance1.17Won
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.83
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.81Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.20fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Águila, full-time Águila
37% chance2.72fairWon

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila odds movement

Fuerte San Francisco win5.18unchanged
Draw3.87unchanged
Águila win1.67unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.97unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.83-0.03

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila prediction

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila prediction and best bet

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila prediction for the Primera Division on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Águila a narrow favourite at 58%, with the draw at 24% and Fuerte San Francisco at 18%.

Expected goals are 0.90 for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.78 for Águila, a total of 2.68, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Águila to win is the main selection, rated 58%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.67. That price implies 60%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila.

Águila or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.17.

Over the last 5 matches Fuerte San Francisco stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Águila show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 22Bet pay 1.83.

Both teams to score is 50%: Fuerte San Francisco find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Águila in 83%. Fuerte San Francisco keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Águila 41%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila: 0-1 (12.2%), 1-1 (11%) and 0-2 (10.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Águila, full-time Águila is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

All markets, Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Fuerte San Francisco to win18%5.18
Draw24%3.87
Águila to win58%1.67
Fuerte San Francisco, draw no bet24%fair 4.22
Águila, draw no bet76%fair 1.31

Double chance

Fuerte San Francisco or draw42%2.12
Águila or draw82%1.17
Fuerte San Francisco or Águila (no draw)76%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%1.97
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%1.83
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39

BTTS

Both teams to score50%2.02
Not both teams to score50%1.81

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Fuerte San Francisco to score59%fair 1.69
Águila to score83%fair 1.20
Fuerte San Francisco clean sheet17%fair 5.92
Águila clean sheet41%fair 2.46
Fuerte San Francisco to win to nil16%fair 6.45
Águila to win to nil37%fair 2.67

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-112.2%
1-111%
0-210.9%
1-29.8%
0-06.9%
0-36.4%

Half-time / full-time

Águila / Águila36.7%
Draw / Águila18.8%
Draw / Draw14.3%
Fuerte San Francisco / Fuerte San Francisco10.2%
Draw / Fuerte San Francisco7.4%

Questions about Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila

Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

The model gives Águila the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Fuerte San Francisco find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Águila in 83%.

What time does Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila kick off?

Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila starts at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Fuerte San Francisco v ÁguilaÁguila to win, 58%
1.67Bet