LibertadHomeWWWLD
EmelecAwayLLWLL
LibertadHomeWWWLD
EmelecAwayLLWLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | 3.19 | 2.97 | 2.00 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.95 | Bet | |
| 2.38 | 3.19 | 2.97 | 2.00 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
22Bet pay the best Libertad price at 2.38, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.19 and 22Bet have Emelec longest at 2.97.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.00 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.76 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (22Bet) and no 1.95 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
2 meetings since coverage began, 5 goals in total: Libertad scored 3, Emelec scored 2.
Libertad vs Emelec prediction for the Liga Pro on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Libertad marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 29% and Emelec at 29%.
Libertad are expected to score 1.38 and Emelec 1.13, so the total line is 2.51 goals; over 2.5 lands at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Libertad vs Emelec is libertad or Emelec (no draw), a 71% chance. At 1.32 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Libertad vs Emelec.
Form check: Libertad have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 5 conceded, Emelec 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.
The previous 2 meetings between these sides produced 5 goals in total; Libertad won 1, Emelec won 0 and 1 finished level.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.76.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Libertad scoring in 75% of runs and Emelec in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Libertad and 25% for Emelec.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 11.2% and 0-1 at 9.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Libertad, full-time Libertad leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 29% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Libertad the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Libertad find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Emelec in 68%.
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.