Liga Pro
Leones del NorteHomeDLLWW
Sun 8 Nov
Guayaquil City FCAwayDWLWD512623
Leones del Norte winDrawGuayaquil City FC win
Leones del NorteHomeDLLWWGuayaquil City FCAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.58 1.60 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 51% Leones del Norte
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.49 | 4.28 | 1.96 | 1.79 | 1.81 | 1.88 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.82 | 3.49 | 4.29 | 1.96 | 1.79 | 1.81 | 1.88 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Leones del Norte to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Leones del Norte price at 1.82, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.49 and 22Bet have Guayaquil City FC longest at 4.29.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.96 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (22Bet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
51%
Our prediction
Leones del Norte to win
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw
78% chance1.20
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Leones del Norte, full-time Leones del Norte
32% chance3.14fair
Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC head to head
0Leones del Norte wins
1Draw
0Guayaquil City FC wins
- 19 Sep 26Guayaquil City FC1:1Leones del Norte
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Leones del Norte scored 1, Guayaquil City FC scored 1.
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC prediction
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC prediction, who wins and at what price
The Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC prediction leans to Leones del Norte: 51% against 22% for Guayaquil City FC, with 26% left for the draw, in the Liga Pro on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.58 in total, split 1.60 to Leones del Norte and 0.98 to Guayaquil City FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is leones del Norte to win at 51%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.82. That price implies 55%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC.
For a safer line, leones del Norte or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.20.
Over the last 5 matches Leones del Norte stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Guayaquil City FC show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.79 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 50%: Leones del Norte find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Guayaquil City FC in 63%. Leones del Norte keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Guayaquil City FC 20%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC: 1-0 (12.1%), 1-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Leones del Norte, full-time Leones del Norte is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
All markets, Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 51% / 26% / 22% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Leones del Norte to win51%1.82
Draw26%3.49
Guayaquil City FC to win22%4.29
Leones del Norte, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Guayaquil City FC, draw no bet30%fair 3.30
Double chance
Leones del Norte or draw78%1.20
Guayaquil City FC or draw49%1.92
Leones del Norte or Guayaquil City FC (no draw)74%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.96
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 2.5 goals53%1.79
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.81
Not both teams to score50%1.88
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.10
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Leones del Norte to score80%fair 1.25
Guayaquil City FC to score63%fair 1.60
Leones del Norte clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Guayaquil City FC clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Leones del Norte to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Guayaquil City FC to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.1%
1-111.9%
2-09.7%
2-19.5%
0-07.6%
0-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Leones del Norte / Leones del Norte31.8%
Draw / Leones del Norte17.5%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Guayaquil City FC / Guayaquil City FC12.8%
Draw / Guayaquil City FC9%
Questions about Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC
Who is favourite in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
The model gives Leones del Norte the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Leones del Norte find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Guayaquil City FC in 63%.
When do Leones del Norte play Guayaquil City FC?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.