Liga Pro
AucasHomeLLDLW
Sun 8 Nov
Independiente del ValleAwayWLDWW272746
Aucas winDrawIndependiente del Valle win
AucasHomeLLDLWIndependiente del ValleAwayWLDWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.13 : 1.53
- Favourite
- 46% Independiente del Valle
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.38 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.70 | 2.01 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.35 | 3.39 | 2.10 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.70 | 2.01 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Independiente del Valle to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle are 3.35 for Aucas at 22Bet, 3.39 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.10 for Independiente del Valle at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (22Bet) and no 2.01 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Aucas or Independiente del Valle (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle
28% chance3.56fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Aucas v Independiente del Valle head to head
0Aucas wins
0Draws
1Independiente del Valle wins
- 10 Oct 26Independiente del Valle2:1Aucas
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Aucas scored 1, Independiente del Valle scored 2.
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle prediction
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle prediction, who wins and at what price
Aucas host Independiente del Valle on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Liga Pro, and the model has Independiente del Valle at 46%, the draw at 27% and Aucas at 27%: that is the Aucas vs Independiente del Valle prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.13 for Aucas and 1.53 for Independiente del Valle, a total of 2.66, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle is aucas or Independiente del Valle (no draw), a 73% chance. At 1.29 with 22Bet the market prices it at 78%, against 73% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Aucas stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Independiente del Valle show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 72%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 22Bet pay 1.87.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Aucas scoring in 68% of runs and Independiente del Valle in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for Aucas and 32% for Independiente del Valle.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: 1-1 (12.1%), 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 27% / 27% / 46% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Aucas to win27%3.35
Draw27%3.39
Independiente del Valle to win46%2.10
Aucas, draw no bet37%fair 2.69
Independiente del Valle, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Double chance
Aucas or draw54%1.68
Independiente del Valle or draw73%1.30
Aucas or Independiente del Valle (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.88
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.87
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.01
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Aucas to score68%fair 1.48
Independiente del Valle to score78%fair 1.28
Aucas clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Independiente del Valle clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Aucas to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Independiente del Valle to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-110.7%
1-29.3%
0-28.2%
1-07.9%
0-07%
Half-time / full-time
Independiente del Valle / Independiente del Valle28.1%
Aucas / Aucas15.9%
Draw / Independiente del Valle15.9%
Draw / Draw15.4%
Draw / Aucas10.5%
Questions about Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
Aucas or Independiente del Valle: which side does the model back?
The model gives Independiente del Valle the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Aucas find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Independiente del Valle in 78%.
When do Aucas play Independiente del Valle?
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle starts at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.