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Copa Ecuador Semi-finals Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
Delfin SCHomeWWLLW
0:3Half-time 0:1
Independiente del ValleAwayWLDWW
242848
Delfin SC winDrawIndependiente del Valle win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.46
0.98 : 1.48
Favourite
48%
Independiente del Valle
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.843.181.881.991.701.831.86Bet
22Bet4.653.721.702.011.802.111.68Bet
BC.Game4.503.701.701.921.822.101.65Bet
Betwinner4.653.721.702.011.802.111.68Bet
Melbet4.653.721.702.011.802.111.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Independiente del Valle to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction: Delfin SC 4.65 (Melbet), draw 3.72 (Melbet), Independiente del Valle 1.88 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.82 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (Melbet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

Independiente del Valle or draw
StrongExpected goals 0.98 : 1.48-10.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.82
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle
29% chance3.40fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction, who wins and at what price

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction for the Copa Ecuador on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Independiente del Valle marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 28% and Delfin SC at 24%.

The goal expectancy is 2.46 in total, split 0.98 to Delfin SC and 1.48 to Independiente del Valle. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Independiente del Valle or draw is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.18. That price implies 85%, 9 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle.

Over the last 5 matches Delfin SC stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Independiente del Valle show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 77%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.82 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 50%: Delfin SC find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Independiente del Valle in 77%. Delfin SC keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Independiente del Valle 38%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-2 (9.4%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Delfin SC to win24%4.65
Draw28%3.72
Independiente del Valle to win48%1.88
Delfin SC, draw no bet34%fair 2.99
Independiente del Valle, draw no bet67%fair 1.50

Double chance

Delfin SC or draw52%2.07
Independiente del Valle or draw76%1.18
Delfin SC or Independiente del Valle (no draw)72%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.01
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals55%1.82
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score50%2.11
Not both teams to score51%1.86

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Delfin SC to score63%fair 1.60
Independiente del Valle to score77%fair 1.30
Delfin SC clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Independiente del Valle clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Delfin SC to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Independiente del Valle to win to nil35%fair 2.90

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-112.6%
1-112.4%
0-29.4%
1-29.2%
0-08.5%
1-08.4%

Half-time / full-time

Independiente del Valle / Independiente del Valle29.4%
Draw / Independiente del Valle17%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Delfin SC / Delfin SC13.9%
Draw / Delfin SC9.8%

Questions about Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle

Who is favourite in Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?

The model gives Independiente del Valle the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Delfin SC find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Independiente del Valle in 77%.

When is Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Delfin SC v Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle or draw, 76%
1.18Bet