Czech Liga
PlzenHomeWLLWW
Sun 8 Nov
Sparta PrahaAwayDLWLD382636
Plzen winDrawSparta Praha win
PlzenHomeWLLWWSparta PrahaAwayDLWLD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.03 1.54 : 1.49
- Favourite
- 38% Plzen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Plzen vs Sparta Praha odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.39 | 3.56 | 2.58 | 1.62 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.37 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.39 | 3.56 | 2.58 | 1.62 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.37 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.65 | 2.14 | 1.52 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.39 | 3.56 | 2.58 | 1.62 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.37 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.39 | 3.56 | 2.58 | 1.62 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.37 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Plzen to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Plzen vs Sparta Praha prediction: Plzen 2.40 (BC.Game), draw 3.56 (Betwinner), Sparta Praha 2.60 (BC.Game).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.65 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.19 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (Betwinner) and no 2.37 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Plzen or Sparta Praha (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Plzen, full-time Plzen
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.34fair
Plzen vs Sparta Praha prediction
Plzen vs Sparta Praha prediction and best bet
Plzen vs Sparta Praha prediction for the Czech Liga on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model calls it close, Plzen 38%, draw 26%, Sparta Praha 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.54 for Plzen and 1.49 for Sparta Praha, a total of 3.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Plzen vs Sparta Praha is plzen or Sparta Praha (no draw), a 74% chance. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Plzen stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Sparta Praha show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Plzen vs Sparta Praha
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.65 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. Plzen score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Sparta Praha; Sparta Praha score in 78% while Plzen shut them out 23% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Plzen, full-time Plzen leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Plzen vs Sparta Praha
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Plzen vs Sparta Praha, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Plzen to win38%2.40
Draw26%3.56
Sparta Praha to win36%2.60
Plzen, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Sparta Praha, draw no bet49%fair 2.05
Double chance
Plzen or draw64%1.43
Sparta Praha or draw62%1.50
Plzen or Sparta Praha (no draw)74%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.65
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals42%2.19
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.52
Not both teams to score37%2.37
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Plzen to score79%fair 1.27
Sparta Praha to score78%fair 1.29
Plzen clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Sparta Praha clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Plzen to win to nil21%fair 4.83
Sparta Praha to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.4%
0-17.2%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Plzen / Plzen23.3%
Sparta Praha / Sparta Praha21.9%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Plzen13.1%
Draw / Sparta Praha12.4%
Questions about Plzen vs Sparta Praha
Plzen or Sparta Praha: which side does the model back?
The model gives Plzen the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Plzen vs Sparta Praha both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Plzen find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Sparta Praha in 78%.
When is Plzen vs Sparta Praha and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.