Série A
Round 34 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
Atletico ParanaenseHomeDWLDL
Wed 4 Nov
Vasco DA GamaAwayLLWLL462628
Atletico Paranaense winDrawVasco DA Gama win
Série A
Round 34 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
Atletico ParanaenseHomeDWLDLVasco DA GamaAwayLLWLL- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.90 1.66 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 46% Atletico Paranaense
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.66 | 3.28 | 1.80 | 2.06 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.24 | 1.78 | 2.04 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.14 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 1.73 | 2.02 | 1.58 | 2.20 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.24 | 1.78 | 2.04 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.24 | 1.78 | 2.04 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.69 | 2.05 | 1.59 | 2.16 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico Paranaense to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction: Atletico Paranaense 2.16 (1xBet), draw 3.66 (1xBet), Vasco DA Gama 3.28 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.80 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (Melbet) and no 2.20 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Atletico Paranaense or Vasco DA Gama (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Paranaense, full-time Atletico Paranaense
29% chance3.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction and best bet
The Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction leans to Atletico Paranaense: 46% against 28% for Vasco DA Gama, with 26% left for the draw, in the Série A on Wednesday, 4 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.90 in total, split 1.66 to Atletico Paranaense and 1.24 to Vasco DA Gama. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Atletico Paranaense or Vasco DA Gama (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama.
Over the last 5 matches Atletico Paranaense stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Vasco DA Gama show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.80 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 58%. Atletico Paranaense score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Vasco DA Gama; Vasco DA Gama score in 71% while Atletico Paranaense shut them out 29% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: 1-1 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atletico Paranaense, full-time Atletico Paranaense leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win46%2.16
Draw26%3.66
Vasco DA Gama to win28%3.28
Atletico Paranaense, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Vasco DA Gama, draw no bet38%fair 2.67
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw72%1.36
Vasco DA Gama or draw54%1.73
Atletico Paranaense or Vasco DA Gama (no draw)74%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.03
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.95
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Under 2.5 goals45%2.06
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.61
Not both teams to score42%2.20
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.67
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Atletico Paranaense to score81%fair 1.23
Vasco DA Gama to score71%fair 1.41
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Atletico Paranaense to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Vasco DA Gama to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
2-19.4%
1-09.1%
2-07.6%
1-27%
0-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Paranaense / Atletico Paranaense28.9%
Vasco DA Gama / Vasco DA Gama16.4%
Draw / Atletico Paranaense15.5%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Vasco DA Gama10.3%
Questions about Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense or Vasco DA Gama: which side does the model back?
The model gives Atletico Paranaense the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Atletico Paranaense find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Vasco DA Gama in 71%.
When do Atletico Paranaense play Vasco DA Gama?
Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.