FluminenseAwayLLWLW
FluminenseAwayLLWLW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.56 1.24 : 1.32
- Favourite
- 38% Fluminense
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Vitoria vs Fluminense odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.79 | 3.40 | 2.57 | 2.04 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 2.76 | 3.36 | 2.54 | 2.03 | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 2.78 | 3.20 | 2.48 | 1.96 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 1.94 | Bet | |
| 2.76 | 3.36 | 2.54 | 2.03 | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 2.76 | 3.36 | 2.54 | 2.03 | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.48 | 1.97 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Vitoria price at 2.79, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.40 and 1xBet have Fluminense longest at 2.57.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.04 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (Stake) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction
Our Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction and pick
The Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Série A on Friday, 6 November 2026 gives Vitoria a 34% chance, Fluminense 38% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.56 in total, split 1.24 to Vitoria and 1.32 to Fluminense. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Vitoria or Fluminense (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Vitoria vs Fluminense.
Over the last 5 matches Vitoria stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Fluminense show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Vitoria vs Fluminense
On the goal lines Vitoria vs Fluminense reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.81.
Both teams to score is 53%: Vitoria find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Fluminense in 73%. Vitoria keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Fluminense 29%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%, followed by 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Vitoria vs Fluminense
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Vitoria vs Fluminense, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about Vitoria vs Fluminense
Who is favourite in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
The model gives Fluminense the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Vitoria vs Fluminense correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Vitoria find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Fluminense in 73%.
When is Vitoria vs Fluminense and where is the result shown?
Vitoria vs Fluminense starts at 23:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.