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Live 18 UTC
Série A Round 34 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
VitoriaHomeWLDDL
Fri 6 Nov
FluminenseAwayLLWLW
342838
Vitoria winDrawFluminense win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.56
1.24 : 1.32
Favourite
38%
Fluminense
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Vitoria vs Fluminense odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.793.402.572.041.811.761.96Bet
22Bet2.763.362.542.031.791.761.96Bet
BC.Game2.783.202.481.961.771.751.94Bet
Betwinner2.763.362.542.031.791.761.96Bet
Melbet2.763.362.542.031.791.761.96Bet
Stake2.753.302.481.971.751.781.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Fluminense to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Vitoria price at 2.79, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.40 and 1xBet have Fluminense longest at 2.57.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.04 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (Stake) and no 1.96 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

Vitoria or Fluminense (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.24 : 1.32-4.1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense
23% chance4.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair

Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction

Our Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction and pick

The Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Série A on Friday, 6 November 2026 gives Vitoria a 34% chance, Fluminense 38% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.56 in total, split 1.24 to Vitoria and 1.32 to Fluminense. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Vitoria or Fluminense (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Vitoria vs Fluminense.

Over the last 5 matches Vitoria stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Fluminense show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Vitoria vs Fluminense

On the goal lines Vitoria vs Fluminense reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.81.

Both teams to score is 53%: Vitoria find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Fluminense in 73%. Vitoria keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Fluminense 29%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%, followed by 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (9.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Vitoria vs Fluminense

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Vitoria vs Fluminense, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Vitoria to win34%2.79
Draw28%3.40
Fluminense to win38%2.57
Vitoria, draw no bet47%fair 2.11
Fluminense, draw no bet53%fair 1.90

Double chance

Vitoria or draw62%1.53
Fluminense or draw66%1.46
Vitoria or Fluminense (no draw)72%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.04
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals53%1.81
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.78
Not both teams to score47%1.96

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Vitoria to score71%fair 1.41
Fluminense to score73%fair 1.36
Vitoria clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Fluminense clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Vitoria to win to nil25%fair 4.07
Fluminense to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-110.2%
1-09.6%
1-28.4%
2-17.8%
0-07.7%

Half-time / full-time

Fluminense / Fluminense22.6%
Vitoria / Vitoria20.1%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Fluminense13.9%
Draw / Vitoria12.7%

Questions about Vitoria vs Fluminense

Who is favourite in Vitoria vs Fluminense?

The model gives Fluminense the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Vitoria vs Fluminense correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Vitoria vs Fluminense?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Vitoria find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Fluminense in 73%.

When is Vitoria vs Fluminense and where is the result shown?

Vitoria vs Fluminense starts at 23:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Vitoria v FluminenseVitoria or Fluminense (no draw), 72%
1.34Bet