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Live 16 UTC
Copa do Brasil Semi-finals Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Vasco DA GamaHomeLLWLL
Sun 8 Nov
PalmeirasAwayWLWDW
372835
Vasco DA Gama winDrawPalmeiras win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.38
1.20 : 1.18
Favourite
37%
Vasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Best odds for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.943.462.362.241.651.911.81Bet
BC.Game2.863.302.422.261.581.931.76Bet
Melbet---2.241.65--Bet
Stake2.953.452.272.201.601.981.71Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Vasco DA Gama to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras prediction: Vasco DA Gama 2.95 (Stake), draw 3.46 (22Bet), Palmeiras 2.42 (BC.Game).

The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.26 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.65 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.98 (Stake) and no 1.81 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama or Palmeiras (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.20 : 1.18-6.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vasco DA Gama, full-time Vasco DA Gama
21% chance4.74fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras head to head

0Vasco DA Gama wins
0Draws
1Palmeiras wins
  • 1 Nov 26Palmeiras1:0Vasco DA Gama

1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: Vasco DA Gama scored 0, Palmeiras scored 1.

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras prediction

Our Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras prediction for Sunday, 8 November 2026: 37% home, 28% draw and 35% away in the Copa do Brasil. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 2.38 in total, split 1.20 to Vasco DA Gama and 1.18 to Palmeiras. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras is vasco DA Gama or Palmeiras (no draw), a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at BC.Game, which implies 76%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Vasco DA Gama stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Palmeiras show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.65 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 47%: Vasco DA Gama find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Palmeiras in 69%. Vasco DA Gama keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Palmeiras 30%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras: 1-1 (13.1%), 1-0 (11.1%) and 0-1 (10.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Vasco DA Gama, full-time Vasco DA Gama is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.

Every market rated for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Vasco DA Gama to win37%2.95
Draw28%3.46
Palmeiras to win35%2.42
Vasco DA Gama, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Palmeiras, draw no bet49%fair 2.04

Double chance

Vasco DA Gama or draw65%1.59
Palmeiras or draw64%1.40
Vasco DA Gama or Palmeiras (no draw)72%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals43%2.26
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals57%1.65
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.98
Not both teams to score53%1.81

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Vasco DA Gama to score70%fair 1.43
Palmeiras to score69%fair 1.44
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Palmeiras clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Vasco DA Gama to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Palmeiras to win to nil28%fair 3.61

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.1%
0-110.9%
0-09.3%
2-17.9%
1-27.7%

Half-time / full-time

Vasco DA Gama / Vasco DA Gama21.1%
Palmeiras / Palmeiras20.5%
Draw / Draw17.9%
Draw / Vasco DA Gama13.6%
Draw / Palmeiras13.3%

Questions about Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

The model gives Vasco DA Gama the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Vasco DA Gama find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Palmeiras in 69%.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Vasco DA Gama v PalmeirasVasco DA Gama or Palmeiras (no draw), 72%
1.31Bet