Austria Bundesliga
Grazer AKHomeDLDLL
0:4Half-time 0:2
TSV HartbergAwayWLWDW362737
Grazer AK winDrawTSV Hartberg win
Grazer AKHomeDLDLLTSV HartbergAwayWLWDW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.86 1.42 : 1.44
- Favourite
- 37% TSV Hartberg
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.28 | 2.58 | 1.80 | 1.94 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.62 | 3.52 | 2.58 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.64 | 3.40 | 2.56 | 1.77 | 1.96 | 1.64 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.62 | 3.52 | 2.58 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.62 | 3.52 | 2.58 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.64 | 2.13 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
TSV Hartberg to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction: Grazer AK 2.65 (Stake), draw 3.52 (Melbet), TSV Hartberg 2.58 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.98 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (22Bet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Grazer AK or TSV Hartberg (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time TSV Hartberg, full-time TSV Hartberg
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.38fair
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction
Our Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg prediction for Friday, 30 October 2026: 36% home, 27% draw and 37% away in the Austria Bundesliga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.42 for Grazer AK and 1.44 for TSV Hartberg, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is grazer AK or TSV Hartberg (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Grazer AK average 0.4 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 5, TSV Hartberg 2.2 and 1.4 across 5.
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.83 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 59%: Grazer AK find the net in 76% of simulated matches and TSV Hartberg in 76%. Grazer AK keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and TSV Hartberg 24%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%, followed by 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time TSV Hartberg, full-time TSV Hartberg leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg
The grid built from 1.42 and 1.44 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Grazer AK to win36%2.65
Draw27%3.52
TSV Hartberg to win37%2.58
Grazer AK, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
TSV Hartberg, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Double chance
Grazer AK or draw63%1.51
TSV Hartberg or draw64%1.49
Grazer AK or TSV Hartberg (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.83
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals46%1.98
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.70
Not both teams to score41%2.18
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Grazer AK to score76%fair 1.32
TSV Hartberg to score76%fair 1.31
Grazer AK clean sheet24%fair 4.22
TSV Hartberg clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Grazer AK to win to nil22%fair 4.59
TSV Hartberg to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%
0-18.2%
1-08.1%
2-26%
Half-time / full-time
TSV Hartberg / TSV Hartberg22.5%
Grazer AK / Grazer AK21.9%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / TSV Hartberg13.1%
Draw / Grazer AK12.8%
Questions about Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg
Who is favourite in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
The model gives TSV Hartberg the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Grazer AK find the net in 76% of simulated matches and TSV Hartberg in 76%.
When is Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg and where is the result shown?
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg starts at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.