Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction

Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction, who wins and at what price

The Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Austria Bundesliga on Saturday, 17 October 2026 gives Ried a 40% chance, Austria Vienna 36% and the draw 24%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.61 for Ried and 1.53 for Austria Vienna, a total of 3.14, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is ried or Austria Vienna (no draw) at 76%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 76% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Ried stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Austria Vienna show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Ried vs Austria Vienna with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Ried vs Austria Vienna reads 82% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.63.

Both teams to score is 62%: Ried find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Austria Vienna in 78%. Ried keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Austria Vienna 20%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%, followed by 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ried, full-time Ried is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.