A-League
Melbourne VictoryHomeWLDLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
Central Coast MarinersAwayDLD691813
Melbourne Victory winDrawCentral Coast Mariners win
Melbourne VictoryHomeWLDLDCentral Coast MarinersAwayDLD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.27 2.34 : 0.93
- Favourite
- 69% Melbourne Victory
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.44 | 5.06 | 6.99 | 1.53 | 2.44 | 1.69 | 2.05 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.44 | 4.76 | 6.70 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.60 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.44 | 4.76 | 6.70 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.46 | 4.52 | 6.70 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.15 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.41 | 5.00 | 6.80 | 1.49 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Melbourne Victory to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Melbourne Victory price at 1.46, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.06 and 1xBet have Central Coast Mariners longest at 6.99.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 2.15 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
69%
Our prediction
Melbourne Victory to win
Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw
87% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Melbourne Victory, full-time Melbourne Victory
46% chance2.16fair
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners odds movement
Melbourne Victory win1.46unchanged
Draw5.06-0.27
Central Coast Mariners win6.99-1.01
Over 2.5 goals1.53-0.02
Under 2.5 goals2.50-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction and best bet
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction for the A-League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Melbourne Victory the clear favourite at 69%, with the draw at 18% and Central Coast Mariners at 13%.
Expected goals are 2.34 for Melbourne Victory and 0.93 for Central Coast Mariners, a total of 3.27, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Melbourne Victory to win is the main selection, rated 69%. The best price in our comparison is 1.46 at Melbet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
Melbourne Victory or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.12.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Melbourne Victory have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Central Coast Mariners 0 of 3 scoring 3 and conceding 5.
Goals forecast for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.53 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 55%: Melbourne Victory find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Central Coast Mariners in 61%. Melbourne Victory keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Central Coast Mariners 10%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.4%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Melbourne Victory, full-time Melbourne Victory is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
All markets, Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
The grid built from 2.34 and 0.93 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win69%1.46
Draw18%5.06
Central Coast Mariners to win13%6.99
Melbourne Victory, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Central Coast Mariners, draw no bet16%fair 6.13
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw87%1.12
Central Coast Mariners or draw31%2.94
Melbourne Victory or Central Coast Mariners (no draw)82%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.53
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 2.5 goals37%2.50
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.74
Not both teams to score45%2.15
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.31
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
Melbourne Victory to score90%fair 1.11
Central Coast Mariners to score61%fair 1.65
Melbourne Victory clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Central Coast Mariners clean sheet10%fair 10.42
Melbourne Victory to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Central Coast Mariners to win to nil9%fair 11.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.4%
2-19.7%
1-08.9%
1-18.3%
3-08.1%
3-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Melbourne Victory / Melbourne Victory46.3%
Draw / Melbourne Victory19.1%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Central Coast Mariners / Central Coast Mariners7.3%
Draw / Central Coast Mariners5.1%
Questions about Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
The model gives Melbourne Victory the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Melbourne Victory find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Central Coast Mariners in 61%.
When is Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 04:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.