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Live 11 UTC
A-League Round 1 Friday, 16 October 2026 FT
SydneyHomeDWL
0:0Half-time 0:0
Western Sydney WanderersAwayDWW
432532
Sydney winDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers win
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct
Expected goals
2.98
1.61 : 1.37
Favourite
43%
Sydney
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.263.713.081.742.161.572.26Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sydney to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Sydney price at 2.26, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.71 and 1xBet have Western Sydney Wanderers longest at 3.08.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.16 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Sydney or Western Sydney Wanderers (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.61 : 1.37-2.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sydney, full-time Sydney
26% chance3.82fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction

Our Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction and pick

Sydney host Western Sydney Wanderers on Friday, 16 October 2026 in the A-League, and the model has Sydney at 43%, the draw at 25% and Western Sydney Wanderers at 32%: that is the Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction in one line.

Sydney are expected to score 1.61 and Western Sydney Wanderers 1.37, so the total line is 2.98 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers is sydney or Western Sydney Wanderers (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Sydney average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 3, Western Sydney Wanderers 2.0 and 0.7 across 3.

How many goals in Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Sydney scoring in 80% of runs and Western Sydney Wanderers in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Sydney and 20% for Western Sydney Wanderers.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.2%).

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sydney, full-time Sydney leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sydney to win43%2.26
Draw25%3.71
Western Sydney Wanderers to win32%3.08
Sydney, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Western Sydney Wanderers, draw no bet43%fair 2.33

Double chance

Sydney or draw68%1.40
Western Sydney Wanderers or draw57%1.68
Sydney or Western Sydney Wanderers (no draw)75%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.16
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.26

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Sydney to score80%fair 1.25
Western Sydney Wanderers to score75%fair 1.34
Sydney clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Western Sydney Wanderers clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Sydney to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Western Sydney Wanderers to win to nil18%fair 5.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19%
1-08.2%
1-27.7%
0-17%
2-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Sydney / Sydney26.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers / Western Sydney Wanderers19%
Draw / Sydney14.3%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Draw / Western Sydney Wanderers11.3%

Questions about Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers

Sydney or Western Sydney Wanderers: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sydney the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Sydney find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Western Sydney Wanderers in 75%.

When is Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 09:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sydney v Western Sydney WanderersSydney or Western Sydney Wanderers (no draw), 75%
1.30Bet