Xorazm vs Pakhtakor prediction

Our Xorazm vs Pakhtakor prediction and pick

Xorazm vs Pakhtakor prediction for the Uzbekistan Super League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Pakhtakor a narrow favourite at 59%, with the draw at 24% and Xorazm at 17%.

Xorazm are expected to score 0.88 and Pakhtakor 1.82, so the total line is 2.70 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Pakhtakor to win is the main selection, rated 59%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.63. That price implies 62%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Xorazm vs Pakhtakor.

For a safer line, pakhtakor or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.14.

Form check: Xorazm have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 8 conceded, Pakhtakor 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 6.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Xorazm vs Pakhtakor

On the goal lines Xorazm vs Pakhtakor reads 75% for over 1.5, 50% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 22Bet pay 1.91.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Xorazm score in 59% of simulations against a 42% clean sheet for Pakhtakor; Pakhtakor score in 84% while Xorazm shut them out 16% of the time.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 12.2%, then 0-2 at 11.1% and 1-1 at 10.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Pakhtakor, full-time Pakhtakor leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.