Stars League
Al-GharafaHomeLDDLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Qatar SCAwayLDWL472627
Al-Gharafa winDrawQatar SC win
Al-GharafaHomeLDDLWQatar SCAwayLDWL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.39 1.93 : 1.46
- Favourite
- 47% Al-Gharafa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 69% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.72 | 4.28 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.37 | 2.81 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.78 | 4.09 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.41 | 2.77 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.71 | 3.85 | 3.90 | 1.37 | 2.92 | 1.38 | 2.66 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.78 | 4.09 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.41 | 2.77 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.78 | 4.09 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.41 | 2.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al-Gharafa to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Al-Gharafa price at 1.78, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.09 and 1xBet have Qatar SC longest at 4.28.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.37 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (22Bet) and no 2.81 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Al-Gharafa or Qatar SC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.37
BTTSBoth teams to score
69% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Gharafa, full-time Al-Gharafa
31% chance3.28fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC prediction
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC prediction and best bet
Al-Gharafa host Qatar SC on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Stars League, and the model has Al-Gharafa at 47%, the draw at 26% and Qatar SC at 27%: that is the Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC prediction in one line.
Al-Gharafa are expected to score 1.93 and Qatar SC 1.46, so the total line is 3.39 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 69%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Al-Gharafa or Qatar SC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.21. That price implies 83%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Al-Gharafa have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Qatar SC 1 of 4 scoring 5 and conceding 9.
Goals forecast for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 44%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 56%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.37 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 69%. Al-Gharafa score in 86% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Qatar SC; Qatar SC score in 77% while Al-Gharafa shut them out 23% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC: 1-1 (9.5%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-2 (6.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Gharafa, full-time Al-Gharafa is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
All markets, Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 26% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Al-Gharafa to win47%1.78
Draw26%4.09
Qatar SC to win27%4.28
Al-Gharafa, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Qatar SC, draw no bet37%fair 2.72
Double chance
Al-Gharafa or draw73%1.24
Qatar SC or draw53%1.99
Al-Gharafa or Qatar SC (no draw)75%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.37
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 2.5 goals35%3.00
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78
BTTS
Both teams to score69%1.41
Not both teams to score31%2.81
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Al-Gharafa to score86%fair 1.17
Qatar SC to score77%fair 1.30
Al-Gharafa clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Qatar SC clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Al-Gharafa to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Qatar SC to win to nil13%fair 7.46
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.5%
2-19.2%
1-26.9%
2-26.7%
1-06.5%
2-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Al-Gharafa / Al-Gharafa30.5%
Qatar SC / Qatar SC17.1%
Draw / Al-Gharafa14.8%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Qatar SC9.8%
Questions about Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
The model gives Al-Gharafa the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. Al-Gharafa find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Qatar SC in 77%.
When is Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.