San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales prediction

San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales prediction for Sunday, 1 November 2026: 28% home, 39% draw and 32% away in the Primera Nacional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Expected goals are 0.88 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.95 for Colegiales, a total of 1.83, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 39%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is colegiales or draw at 72%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 5 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales.

The draw is live at 39%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches San Martin Tucuman stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Colegiales show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 55%, over 2.5 at 28%, over 3.5 at 11%; under 2.5 is 72% and under 3.5 is 89%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.34 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 39%: San Martin Tucuman find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Colegiales in 61%. San Martin Tucuman keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Colegiales 42%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 0-0 leads at 16%, then 0-1 at 15.2% and 1-0 at 14.1%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 56%.