Primera Nacional
AcassusoHomeLWDDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Ferro Carril OesteAwayLDWLD102268
Acassuso winDrawFerro Carril Oeste win
AcassusoHomeLWDDDFerro Carril OesteAwayLDWLD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.08 0.44 : 1.64
- Favourite
- 68% Ferro Carril Oeste
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 28% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 9.80 | 4.05 | 1.32 | 2.28 | 1.50 | 2.88 | 1.35 | Bet |
 22Bet | 10.20 | 4.59 | 1.33 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 3.43 | 1.27 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 10.20 | 4.59 | 1.33 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 3.43 | 1.27 | Bet |
 Melbet | 10.20 | 4.59 | 1.33 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 3.43 | 1.27 | Bet |
 Stake | 9.00 | 4.20 | 1.35 | - | - | 2.90 | 1.32 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ferro Carril Oeste to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Acassuso price at 10.20, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.59 and Stake have Ferro Carril Oeste longest at 1.35.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.48 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 3.43 (22Bet) and no 1.35 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
68%
Our prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw
90% chance1.03
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
72% chance1.35
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.63fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
21% chance4.88fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ferro Carril Oeste, full-time Ferro Carril Oeste
43% chance2.35fair
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction and best bet
The Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction leans to Ferro Carril Oeste: 68% against 10% for Acassuso, with 22% left for the draw, in the Primera Nacional on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
Acassuso are expected to score 0.44 and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.64, so the total line is 2.08 goals; over 2.5 lands at 35% and BTTS at 28%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Ferro Carril Oeste to win is the main selection, rated 68%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at Stake, which implies 74%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste.
For a safer line, ferro Carril Oeste or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.03.
Over the last 5 matches Acassuso stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Ferro Carril Oeste show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 22Bet pay 1.50.
Both teams to score is 28%: Acassuso find the net in 36% of simulated matches and Ferro Carril Oeste in 81%. Acassuso keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Ferro Carril Oeste 64%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 20.5%, then 0-2 at 16.8% and 0-0 at 12.5%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ferro Carril Oeste, full-time Ferro Carril Oeste leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 10% / 22% / 68% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Acassuso to win10%10.20
Draw22%4.59
Ferro Carril Oeste to win68%1.35
Acassuso, draw no bet13%fair 7.69
Ferro Carril Oeste, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Double chance
Acassuso or draw33%3.17
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw90%1.03
Acassuso or Ferro Carril Oeste (no draw)78%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.63
Over 2.5 goals35%2.48
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.33
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.67
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.60
Under 2.5 goals65%1.50
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19
BTTS
Both teams to score28%3.43
Not both teams to score72%1.35
Halves
First-half goal61%fair 1.64
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.15
Second-half goal68%fair 1.47
Team goals
Acassuso to score36%fair 2.81
Ferro Carril Oeste to score81%fair 1.24
Acassuso clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Ferro Carril Oeste clean sheet64%fair 1.55
Acassuso to win to nil9%fair 10.75
Ferro Carril Oeste to win to nil59%fair 1.69
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
0-120.5%
0-216.8%
0-012.5%
0-39.2%
1-19%
1-27.4%
Half-time / full-time
Ferro Carril Oeste / Ferro Carril Oeste42.5%
Draw / Ferro Carril Oeste23.1%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Acassuso / Acassuso4.8%
Draw / Acassuso4.4%
Questions about Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso or Ferro Carril Oeste: which side does the model back?
The model gives Ferro Carril Oeste the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 20.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 35% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The BTTS yes line is rated 28%. Acassuso find the net in 36% of simulated matches and Ferro Carril Oeste in 81%.
What time does Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.