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Live 31 UTC
Primera Nacional Round 36 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
San TelmoHomeWLDLW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Central NorteAwayDDWDL
413326
San Telmo winDrawCentral Norte win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
1.98
1.13 : 0.85
Favourite
41%
San Telmo
Over 2.5 goals
31%
model chance
Both teams to score
42%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

San Telmo vs Central Norte odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.262.713.402.431.442.051.67Bet
22Bet2.282.943.452.651.452.111.68Bet
Betwinner2.282.943.452.481.502.111.68Bet
Melbet2.282.943.452.651.452.111.68Bet
Stake2.262.903.30--2.081.62Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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San Telmo to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for San Telmo vs Central Norte are 2.28 for San Telmo at Betwinner, 2.94 for the draw at Betwinner and 3.45 for Central Norte at Betwinner.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.65 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.50 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (Melbet) and no 1.68 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

San Telmo or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.13 : 0.85-5.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
59% chance1.70fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time San Telmo, full-time San Telmo
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.69fair

San Telmo vs Central Norte prediction

San Telmo vs Central Norte prediction and best bet

San Telmo are marginally ahead in the San Telmo vs Central Norte prediction, rated 41% to win this Primera Nacional match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Central Norte sit at 26% and the draw at 33%.

The goal expectancy is 1.98 in total, split 1.13 to San Telmo and 0.85 to Central Norte. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 31% and both teams to score 42%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for San Telmo vs Central Norte is san Telmo or draw, a 74% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: San Telmo have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Central Norte 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in San Telmo vs Central Norte

On the goal lines San Telmo vs Central Norte reads 59% for over 1.5, 31% for over 2.5 and 14% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 69%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.50 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 42%, built from San Telmo scoring in 68% of runs and Central Norte in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for San Telmo and 32% for Central Norte.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for San Telmo vs Central Norte: 1-0 (15.6%), 0-0 (13.8%) and 1-1 (13.3%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time San Telmo, full-time San Telmo leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for San Telmo vs Central Norte

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 33% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

San Telmo to win41%2.28
Draw33%2.94
Central Norte to win26%3.45
San Telmo, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Central Norte, draw no bet39%fair 2.56

Double chance

San Telmo or draw74%1.28
Central Norte or draw59%1.59
San Telmo or Central Norte (no draw)67%1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals59%fair 1.70
Over 2.5 goals31%2.65
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 19.61
Under 1.5 goals41%fair 2.43
Under 2.5 goals69%1.50
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.16

BTTS

Both teams to score42%2.11
Not both teams to score58%1.68

Halves

First-half goal59%fair 1.69
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.46
Second-half goal66%fair 1.51

Team goals

San Telmo to score68%fair 1.48
Central Norte to score57%fair 1.75
San Telmo clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Central Norte clean sheet32%fair 3.10
San Telmo to win to nil38%fair 2.66
Central Norte to win to nil24%fair 4.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

1-015.6%
0-013.8%
1-113.3%
0-111.7%
2-08.8%
2-17.5%

Half-time / full-time

San Telmo / San Telmo24.2%
Draw / Draw21.8%
Draw / San Telmo16.3%
Central Norte / Central Norte14.9%
Draw / Central Norte11.3%

Questions about San Telmo vs Central Norte

San Telmo or Central Norte: which side does the model back?

The model gives San Telmo the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for San Telmo vs Central Norte?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 31%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in San Telmo vs Central Norte?

The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. San Telmo find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Central Norte in 57%.

When is San Telmo vs Central Norte and where is the result shown?

San Telmo vs Central Norte starts at 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, San Telmo v Central NorteSan Telmo or draw, 74%
1.28Bet