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Atletico DE RafaelaAwayLLLWD
ColegialesHomeWDWDD
Atletico DE RafaelaAwayLLLWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 3.08 | 5.29 | 2.66 | 1.37 | 2.48 | 1.47 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Colegiales price at 1.69, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.08 and 1xBet have Atletico DE Rafaela longest at 5.29.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.66 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.37 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.48 (1xBet) and no 1.47 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Colegiales are a narrow favourite in the Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction, rated 56% to win this Primera Nacional match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Atletico DE Rafaela sit at 16% and the draw at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.40 for Colegiales and 0.63 for Atletico DE Rafaela, a total of 2.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams to score at 35%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela is colegiales to win, a 56% chance. At 1.69 with 1xBet the market prices it at 59%, against 56% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Colegiales or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.09.
Form check: Colegiales have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 1 conceded, Atletico DE Rafaela 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 9.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 60%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.37.
Both teams to score is 35%: Colegiales find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Atletico DE Rafaela in 47%. Colegiales keep a clean sheet 53% of the time and Atletico DE Rafaela 25%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 18.4%, then 0-0 at 13.1% and 2-0 at 12.9%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Colegiales, full-time Colegiales leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 28% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Colegiales the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 28%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 33%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Colegiales find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Atletico DE Rafaela in 47%.
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela starts at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.