Skip to the predictions
Live 16 UTC
Primera Nacional Round 35 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
ColegialesHomeWDWDD
1:1Half-time 0:1
Atletico DE RafaelaAwayLLLWD
562816
Colegiales winDrawAtletico DE Rafaela win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.03
1.40 : 0.63
Favourite
56%
Colegiales
Over 2.5 goals
33%
model chance
Both teams to score
35%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.693.085.292.661.372.481.47Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Colegiales to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Colegiales price at 1.69, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.08 and 1xBet have Atletico DE Rafaela longest at 5.29.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.66 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.37 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.48 (1xBet) and no 1.47 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

56%

Our prediction

Colegiales to win
StrongExpected goals 1.40 : 0.63-6% against the best price
Double chanceColegiales or draw
84% chance1.09
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
65% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
60% chance1.66fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Colegiales, full-time Colegiales
34% chance2.97fair

Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction

Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction, who wins and at what price

Colegiales are a narrow favourite in the Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction, rated 56% to win this Primera Nacional match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Atletico DE Rafaela sit at 16% and the draw at 28%.

Expected goals are 1.40 for Colegiales and 0.63 for Atletico DE Rafaela, a total of 2.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams to score at 35%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela is colegiales to win, a 56% chance. At 1.69 with 1xBet the market prices it at 59%, against 56% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Colegiales or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.09.

Form check: Colegiales have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 1 conceded, Atletico DE Rafaela 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 9.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 60%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.37.

Both teams to score is 35%: Colegiales find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Atletico DE Rafaela in 47%. Colegiales keep a clean sheet 53% of the time and Atletico DE Rafaela 25%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 18.4%, then 0-0 at 13.1% and 2-0 at 12.9%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Colegiales, full-time Colegiales leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 28% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Colegiales to win56%1.69
Draw28%3.08
Atletico DE Rafaela to win16%5.29
Colegiales, draw no bet77%fair 1.29
Atletico DE Rafaela, draw no bet23%fair 4.41

Double chance

Colegiales or draw84%1.09
Atletico DE Rafaela or draw44%1.95
Colegiales or Atletico DE Rafaela (no draw)72%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals60%fair 1.66
Over 2.5 goals33%2.66
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 18.18
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.51
Under 2.5 goals67%1.37
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.17

BTTS

Both teams to score35%2.48
Not both teams to score65%1.47

Halves

First-half goal60%fair 1.67
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.31
Second-half goal67%fair 1.49

Team goals

Colegiales to score75%fair 1.33
Atletico DE Rafaela to score47%fair 2.14
Colegiales clean sheet53%fair 1.88
Atletico DE Rafaela clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Colegiales to win to nil49%fair 2.04
Atletico DE Rafaela to win to nil15%fair 6.67

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

1-018.4%
0-013.1%
2-012.9%
1-111.6%
0-18.3%
2-18.1%

Half-time / full-time

Colegiales / Colegiales33.7%
Draw / Colegiales20.3%
Draw / Draw20%
Atletico DE Rafaela / Atletico DE Rafaela8.8%
Draw / Atletico DE Rafaela7.3%

Questions about Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela

Who is favourite in Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

The model gives Colegiales the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 28%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 33%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Colegiales find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Atletico DE Rafaela in 47%.

When do Colegiales play Atletico DE Rafaela?

Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela starts at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Colegiales v Atletico DE RafaelaColegiales to win, 56%
1.69Bet