Primera Nacional
QuilmesHomeDLLWW
2:1Half-time 1:1
San Martin TucumanAwayWLWLD463024
Quilmes winDrawSan Martin Tucuman win
QuilmesHomeDLLWWSan Martin TucumanAwayWLWLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.21 1.32 : 0.89
- Favourite
- 46% Quilmes
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.05 | 3.74 | 2.30 | 1.49 | 2.04 | 1.68 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Quilmes to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman are 1.96 for Quilmes at 1xBet, 3.05 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.74 for San Martin Tucuman at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.30 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.49 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (1xBet) and no 1.68 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Quilmes or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.49
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.54fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Quilmes, full-time Quilmes
28% chance3.62fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.59fair
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman prediction
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman prediction and best bet
Quilmes host San Martin Tucuman on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Primera Nacional, and the model has Quilmes at 46%, the draw at 30% and San Martin Tucuman at 24%: that is the Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.21 in total, split 1.32 to Quilmes and 0.89 to San Martin Tucuman. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 38% and both teams to score 44%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman is quilmes or draw, a 76% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.19 at 1xBet, which implies 84%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Quilmes stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; San Martin Tucuman show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman reads 65% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.49 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 44%. Quilmes score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for San Martin Tucuman; San Martin Tucuman score in 59% while Quilmes shut them out 41% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.5%, then 1-1 at 12.9% and 0-0 at 11%.
With the top scoreline at 14.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Quilmes, full-time Quilmes is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.
Every market for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman
The grid built from 1.32 and 0.89 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Quilmes to win46%1.96
Draw30%3.05
San Martin Tucuman to win24%3.74
Quilmes, draw no bet66%fair 1.53
San Martin Tucuman, draw no bet35%fair 2.90
Double chance
Quilmes or draw76%1.19
San Martin Tucuman or draw54%1.68
Quilmes or San Martin Tucuman (no draw)70%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.54
Over 2.5 goals38%2.30
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 13.51
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.84
Under 2.5 goals62%1.49
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.04
Not both teams to score56%1.68
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.59
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.82
Second-half goal70%fair 1.42
Team goals
Quilmes to score73%fair 1.36
San Martin Tucuman to score59%fair 1.70
Quilmes clean sheet41%fair 2.43
San Martin Tucuman clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Quilmes to win to nil38%fair 2.65
San Martin Tucuman to win to nil22%fair 4.46
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.5%
1-112.9%
0-011%
0-19.8%
2-09.6%
2-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Quilmes / Quilmes27.6%
Draw / Draw19.1%
Draw / Quilmes17.1%
San Martin Tucuman / San Martin Tucuman13.8%
Draw / San Martin Tucuman10.2%
Questions about Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman
Who is favourite in Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
The model gives Quilmes the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 38%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Quilmes find the net in 73% of simulated matches and San Martin Tucuman in 59%.
What time does Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman kick off?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.