San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn prediction

San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn prediction, who wins and at what price

San Miguel host Deportivo Madryn on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Primera Nacional, and the model has Deportivo Madryn at 62%, the draw at 24% and San Miguel at 14%: that is the San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.26 in total, split 0.63 to San Miguel and 1.63 to Deportivo Madryn. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 38%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn is deportivo Madryn to win, a 62% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.50. That price implies 66%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Deportivo Madryn or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.07.

San Miguel average 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Deportivo Madryn 1.6 and 0.6 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn

Under 2.5 goals is rated 61% and under 3.5 81%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 66% and over 2.5 at 39%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 22Bet pay 1.57.

BTTS yes stands at 38%. San Miguel score in 47% of simulations against a 53% clean sheet for Deportivo Madryn; Deportivo Madryn score in 80% while San Miguel shut them out 20% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 17%, followed by 0-2 (13.9%) and 1-1 (10.7%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Deportivo Madryn, full-time Deportivo Madryn is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.