Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Friday, 6 November 2026
Kick-off
Union Santa FeHomeLLDWD
Fri 6 Nov
Velez SarsfieldAwayDLWWD382933
Union Santa Fe winDrawVelez Sarsfield win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Friday, 6 November 2026
Kick-off
Union Santa FeHomeLLDWDVelez SarsfieldAwayDLWWD- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.29 : 1.20
- Favourite
- 38% Union Santa Fe
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.20 | 2.85 | 2.08 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.56 | 3.21 | 2.85 | 2.08 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.54 | 3.10 | 2.78 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.77 | 1.92 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.56 | 3.21 | 2.85 | 2.08 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.56 | 3.21 | 2.85 | 2.08 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.50 | 3.15 | 2.85 | 2.06 | 1.71 | 1.81 | 1.94 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Union Santa Fe to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Union Santa Fe price at 2.56, Melbet lead the draw at 3.21 and 1xBet have Velez Sarsfield longest at 2.85.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.08 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (Stake) and no 1.94 (Stake).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Union Santa Fe or Velez Sarsfield (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Union Santa Fe, full-time Union Santa Fe
23% chance4.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fair
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield odds movement
Union Santa Fe win2.56+0.09
Draw3.21unchanged
Velez Sarsfield win2.85-0.12
Over 2.5 goals2.08-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.75+0.06
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 3 Nov, 03:43 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction for Friday, 6 November 2026: 38% home, 29% draw and 33% away in the Liga Profesional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.49 in total, split 1.29 to Union Santa Fe and 1.20 to Velez Sarsfield. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Union Santa Fe or Velez Sarsfield (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.35 with 1xBet the market prices it at 74%, against 71% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Union Santa Fe have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 8 conceded, Velez Sarsfield 2 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 6.
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.75.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Union Santa Fe scoring in 73% of runs and Velez Sarsfield in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Union Santa Fe and 28% for Velez Sarsfield.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%, followed by 1-0 (10.7%) and 0-1 (9.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Union Santa Fe, full-time Union Santa Fe is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win38%2.56
Draw29%3.21
Velez Sarsfield to win33%2.85
Union Santa Fe, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Velez Sarsfield, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Double chance
Union Santa Fe or draw67%1.42
Velez Sarsfield or draw62%1.51
Union Santa Fe or Velez Sarsfield (no draw)71%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.08
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.75
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.81
Not both teams to score48%1.94
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Union Santa Fe to score73%fair 1.38
Velez Sarsfield to score70%fair 1.43
Union Santa Fe clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Velez Sarsfield clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Union Santa Fe to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Velez Sarsfield to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-010.7%
0-19.9%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%
1-27.7%
Half-time / full-time
Union Santa Fe / Union Santa Fe22.6%
Velez Sarsfield / Velez Sarsfield19.7%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / Union Santa Fe14%
Draw / Velez Sarsfield12.7%
Questions about Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model gives Union Santa Fe the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Union Santa Fe find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Velez Sarsfield in 70%.
What time does Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield kick off?
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield starts at 22:15 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.