Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
Gimnasia M.HomeLWLLD
Sat 7 Nov
Independ. RivadaviaAwayDLDLW342937
Gimnasia M. winDrawIndepend. Rivadavia win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
Gimnasia M.HomeLWLLDIndepend. RivadaviaAwayDLDLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.39 1.17 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 37% Independ. Rivadavia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.20 | 2.62 | 2.23 | 1.66 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.78 | 3.21 | 2.63 | 2.23 | 1.66 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.76 | 3.00 | 2.62 | 2.16 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 2.24 | 1.60 | 1.92 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Independ. Rivadavia to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia are 2.78 for Gimnasia M. at 1xBet, 3.21 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.63 for Independ. Rivadavia at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.24 (Stake) and under 2.5 1.66 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.92 (Stake) and no 1.83 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.92
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independ. Rivadavia, full-time Independ. Rivadavia
22% chance4.63fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia odds movement
Gimnasia M. win2.78unchanged
Draw3.21unchanged
Independ. Rivadavia win2.63unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.24+0.01
Under 2.5 goals1.66unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 3 Nov, 03:43 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction
Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction for Saturday, 7 November 2026: 34% home, 29% draw and 37% away in the Liga Profesional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.17 for Gimnasia M. and 1.22 for Independ. Rivadavia, a total of 2.39, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.35 with 1xBet the market prices it at 74%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia.
Over the last 5 matches Gimnasia M. stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Independ. Rivadavia show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.66.
Both teams to score is 50%: Gimnasia M. find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Independ. Rivadavia in 71%. Gimnasia M. keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Independ. Rivadavia 31%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%, followed by 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Independ. Rivadavia, full-time Independ. Rivadavia leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win34%2.78
Draw29%3.21
Independ. Rivadavia to win37%2.63
Gimnasia M., draw no bet48%fair 2.08
Independ. Rivadavia, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
Double chance
Gimnasia M. or draw63%1.49
Independ. Rivadavia or draw66%1.44
Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia (no draw)71%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.24
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals58%1.66
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.92
Not both teams to score50%1.83
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Gimnasia M. to score69%fair 1.45
Independ. Rivadavia to score71%fair 1.42
Gimnasia M. clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Gimnasia M. to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Independ. Rivadavia to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.1%
0-111.2%
1-010.7%
0-09.2%
1-28%
2-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Independ. Rivadavia / Independ. Rivadavia21.6%
Gimnasia M. / Gimnasia M.20%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Draw / Independ. Rivadavia13.8%
Draw / Gimnasia M.13.1%
Questions about Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia
Who is favourite in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model gives Independ. Rivadavia the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Gimnasia M. find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Independ. Rivadavia in 71%.
When do Gimnasia M. play Independ. Rivadavia?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.