Liga Profesional
Clausura - 14 Monday, 26 October 2026
FT
Union Santa FeHomeLLDWD
3:1Half-time 0:1
Estudiantes L.P.AwayDLDLD353035
Union Santa Fe winDrawEstudiantes L.P. win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 14 Monday, 26 October 2026
FT
Union Santa FeHomeLLDWDEstudiantes L.P.AwayDLDLD- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.35 1.17 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 35% Estudiantes L.P.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.64 | 3.16 | 2.79 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.87 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.93 | 3.13 | 2.63 | 2.23 | 1.69 | 1.74 | 2.08 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.82 | 3.05 | 2.52 | 2.14 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.99 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 1.74 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Estudiantes L.P. to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction: Union Santa Fe 2.93 (22Bet), draw 3.16 (1xBet), Estudiantes L.P. 2.79 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.24 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.70 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (BC.Game) and no 2.08 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Union Santa Fe or Estudiantes L.P. (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance2.08
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.47fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Estudiantes L.P., full-time Estudiantes L.P.
21% chance4.81fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction, who wins and at what price
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction for the Liga Profesional on Monday, 26 October 2026: the model calls it close, Union Santa Fe 35%, draw 30%, Estudiantes L.P. 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Union Santa Fe are expected to score 1.17 and Estudiantes L.P. 1.18, so the total line is 2.35 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 49%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is union Santa Fe or Estudiantes L.P. (no draw) at 70%. At 1.38 with 22Bet the market prices it at 72%, against 70% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Union Santa Fe average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 and 1.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. reads 68% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.70.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Union Santa Fe scoring in 69% of runs and Estudiantes L.P. in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Union Santa Fe and 31% for Estudiantes L.P..
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%, followed by 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-0 (11.2%).
With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Estudiantes L.P., full-time Estudiantes L.P. leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P., all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win35%2.93
Draw30%3.16
Estudiantes L.P. to win35%2.79
Union Santa Fe, draw no bet49%fair 2.02
Estudiantes L.P., draw no bet51%fair 1.98
Double chance
Union Santa Fe or draw65%1.51
Estudiantes L.P. or draw65%1.48
Union Santa Fe or Estudiantes L.P. (no draw)70%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 2.5 goals42%2.24
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.11
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Under 2.5 goals58%1.70
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score51%2.08
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.51
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38
Team goals
Union Santa Fe to score69%fair 1.45
Estudiantes L.P. to score69%fair 1.44
Union Santa Fe clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Union Santa Fe to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Estudiantes L.P. to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
0-111.3%
1-011.2%
0-09.5%
1-27.8%
2-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Estudiantes L.P. / Estudiantes L.P.20.8%
Union Santa Fe / Union Santa Fe20.5%
Draw / Draw18.1%
Draw / Estudiantes L.P.13.6%
Draw / Union Santa Fe13.4%
Questions about Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe or Estudiantes L.P.: which side does the model back?
The model gives Estudiantes L.P. the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Union Santa Fe find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Estudiantes L.P. in 69%.
When do Union Santa Fe play Estudiantes L.P.?
Kick-off is 22:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.