Liga Profesional Clausura - 13 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT

Velez SarsfieldHomeDLWWD

1:0Half-time 0:0

Gimnasia M.AwayLWLLD

552619

Velez Sarsfield winDrawGimnasia M. win

Kick-off: 23:00
Expected goals: 2.47
Favourite: 55%
Over 2.5 goals: 45%
Both teams to score: 48%
Prices compared: 1

Best odds for Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5	BTTS yes	BTTS no
1xBet	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.11	1.73	1.93	1.78	Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Velez Sarsfield to win partner prices

1xBetBest price1.80Bet now

Best 1X2 lines behind the Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. prediction: Velez Sarsfield 1.80 (1xBet), draw 3.50 (1xBet), Gimnasia M. 4.75 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.78 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

55%

Our prediction

Velez Sarsfield to win

StrongExpected goals 1.61 : 0.86-1.5% against the best price

1.801xBet Bet at 1xBet

Double chanceVelez Sarsfield or draw

81% chance1.19

Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals

55% chance1.73

BTTSNot both teams to score

52% chance1.78

Goal lineOver 1.5 goals

71% chance1.42fair

ScorelineCorrect score 1-0

14% chance7.35fair

Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Velez Sarsfield, full-time Velez Sarsfield

34% chance2.94fair

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. prediction

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. prediction and best bet

Velez Sarsfield host Gimnasia M. on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Liga Profesional, and the model has Velez Sarsfield at 55%, the draw at 26% and Gimnasia M. at 19%: that is the Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.61 to Velez Sarsfield and 0.86 to Gimnasia M.. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. is velez Sarsfield to win, a 55% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.80 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, velez Sarsfield or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.19.

Over the last 5 matches Velez Sarsfield stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Gimnasia M. show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.73.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Velez Sarsfield score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Gimnasia M.; Gimnasia M. score in 58% while Velez Sarsfield shut them out 42% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.6%, then 1-1 at 11.7% and 2-0 at 11%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Velez Sarsfield, full-time Velez Sarsfield leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 26% / 19% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Velez Sarsfield to win55%1.80

Draw26%3.50

Gimnasia M. to win19%4.75

Velez Sarsfield, draw no bet74%fair 1.35

Gimnasia M., draw no bet26%fair 3.86

Double chance

Velez Sarsfield or draw81%1.19

Gimnasia M. or draw45%2.02

Velez Sarsfield or Gimnasia M. (no draw)74%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09

Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42

Over 2.5 goals45%2.11

Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24

Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52

Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40

Under 2.5 goals55%1.73

Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.93

Not both teams to score52%1.78

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49

Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28

Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Velez Sarsfield to score80%fair 1.25

Gimnasia M. to score58%fair 1.73

Velez Sarsfield clean sheet42%fair 2.36

Gimnasia M. clean sheet20%fair 5.00

Velez Sarsfield to win to nil39%fair 2.57

Gimnasia M. to win to nil18%fair 5.68

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02

Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.6%

1-111.7%

2-011%

2-19.4%

0-08.5%

0-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Velez Sarsfield / Velez Sarsfield34%

Draw / Velez Sarsfield18.7%

Draw / Draw16.1%

Gimnasia M. / Gimnasia M.10.9%

Draw / Gimnasia M.8%

Questions about Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.

Velez Sarsfield or Gimnasia M.: which side does the model back?

The model gives Velez Sarsfield the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Velez Sarsfield find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Gimnasia M. in 58%.

What time does Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. kick off?

Kick-off is 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Velez Sarsfield v Gimnasia M.Velez Sarsfield to win, 55%

1.80 Bet