Liga Profesional
Clausura - 15 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
Newells Old BoysHomeDLWDD
1:1Half-time 0:0
Union Santa FeAwayLLDWD433027
Newells Old Boys winDrawUnion Santa Fe win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 15 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
Newells Old BoysHomeDLWDDUnion Santa FeAwayLLDWD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.38 1.35 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 43% Newells Old Boys
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.22 | 3.72 | 2.29 | 1.62 | 1.94 | 1.77 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.07 | 3.22 | 3.86 | 2.28 | 1.62 | 1.88 | 1.90 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.06 | 3.15 | 3.60 | 2.16 | 1.63 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.07 | 3.22 | 3.86 | 2.28 | 1.62 | 1.88 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.07 | 3.22 | 3.86 | 2.28 | 1.62 | 1.88 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.15 | 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 1.94 | 1.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Newells Old Boys to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction: Newells Old Boys 2.15 (Stake), draw 3.22 (1xBet), Union Santa Fe 3.86 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.29 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.63 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.94 (1xBet) and no 1.90 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Newells Old Boys or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.63
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newells Old Boys, full-time Newells Old Boys
26% chance3.83fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fairLost
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe odds movement
Newells Old Boys win2.15-0.07
Draw3.22unchanged
Union Santa Fe win3.86unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.29-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.63-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction and best bet
Newells Old Boys are marginally ahead in the Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction, rated 43% to win this Liga Profesional match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Union Santa Fe sit at 27% and the draw at 30%.
Expected goals are 1.35 for Newells Old Boys and 1.03 for Union Santa Fe, a total of 2.38, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is newells Old Boys or draw at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Stake, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Newells Old Boys average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Union Santa Fe 1.0 and 1.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; BC.Game pay 1.63.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Newells Old Boys score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Union Santa Fe; Union Santa Fe score in 64% while Newells Old Boys shut them out 36% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.9%, then 1-0 at 12.5% and 0-1 at 9.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Newells Old Boys, full-time Newells Old Boys is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Newells Old Boys to win43%2.15
Draw30%3.22
Union Santa Fe to win27%3.86
Newells Old Boys, draw no bet61%fair 1.63
Union Santa Fe, draw no bet39%fair 2.58
Double chance
Newells Old Boys or draw73%1.28
Union Santa Fe or draw57%1.76
Newells Old Boys or Union Santa Fe (no draw)70%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.29
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%1.63
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.94
Not both teams to score51%1.90
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Newells Old Boys to score74%fair 1.35
Union Santa Fe to score64%fair 1.56
Newells Old Boys clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Union Santa Fe clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Newells Old Boys to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Union Santa Fe to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-012.5%
0-19.5%
0-09.3%
2-18.7%
2-08.4%
Half-time / full-time
Newells Old Boys / Newells Old Boys26.1%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Union Santa Fe / Union Santa Fe16%
Draw / Newells Old Boys15.9%
Draw / Union Santa Fe11.1%
Questions about Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
The model gives Newells Old Boys the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Newells Old Boys find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Union Santa Fe in 64%.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 21:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.