Liga Profesional
Clausura - 15 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
Velez SarsfieldHomeDLWWD
2:2Half-time 2:1
San LorenzoAwayLWWDD483022
Velez Sarsfield winDrawSan Lorenzo win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 15 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
Velez SarsfieldHomeDLWWDSan LorenzoAwayLWWDD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.21 1.36 : 0.85
- Favourite
- 48% Velez Sarsfield
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.28 | 4.39 | 2.32 | 1.61 | 2.03 | 1.70 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.86 | 3.26 | 4.76 | 2.37 | 1.57 | 1.98 | 1.81 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.82 | 3.25 | 4.60 | 2.26 | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.68 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.86 | 3.26 | 4.76 | 2.37 | 1.57 | 1.98 | 1.81 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.83 | 3.26 | 5.00 | 2.37 | 1.57 | 1.98 | 1.81 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.86 | 3.30 | 4.40 | 2.27 | 1.59 | 2.08 | 1.70 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Velez Sarsfield to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo are 1.92 for Velez Sarsfield at 1xBet, 3.30 for the draw at Stake and 5.00 for San Lorenzo at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.37 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.08 (Stake) and no 1.81 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
78%
Our prediction
Velez Sarsfield or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.54fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Velez Sarsfield, full-time Velez Sarsfield
29% chance3.45fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.59fair
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction and best bet
Velez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Liga Profesional, and the model has Velez Sarsfield at 48%, the draw at 30% and San Lorenzo at 22%: that is the Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.21 in total, split 1.36 to Velez Sarsfield and 0.85 to San Lorenzo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 38% and both teams to score 43%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo is velez Sarsfield or draw, a 78% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.21 at 1xBet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Velez Sarsfield have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 6 conceded, San Lorenzo 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 6.
A low-scoring Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo reads 65% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 62%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
BTTS yes stands at 43%. Velez Sarsfield score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for San Lorenzo; San Lorenzo score in 57% while Velez Sarsfield shut them out 43% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.9%, followed by 1-1 (12.7%) and 0-0 (11%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Velez Sarsfield, full-time Velez Sarsfield is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.
All markets, Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
The grid built from 1.36 and 0.85 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Velez Sarsfield to win48%1.92
Draw30%3.30
San Lorenzo to win22%5.00
Velez Sarsfield, draw no bet69%fair 1.46
San Lorenzo, draw no bet31%fair 3.19
Double chance
Velez Sarsfield or draw78%1.21
San Lorenzo or draw52%1.97
Velez Sarsfield or San Lorenzo (no draw)70%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.54
Over 2.5 goals38%2.37
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 13.51
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.84
Under 2.5 goals62%1.61
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.08
Not both teams to score57%1.81
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.59
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.82
Second-half goal70%fair 1.42
Team goals
Velez Sarsfield to score74%fair 1.35
San Lorenzo to score57%fair 1.75
Velez Sarsfield clean sheet43%fair 2.34
San Lorenzo clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Velez Sarsfield to win to nil39%fair 2.54
San Lorenzo to win to nil20%fair 4.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.9%
1-112.7%
0-011%
2-010.1%
0-19.3%
2-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
Velez Sarsfield / Velez Sarsfield29%
Draw / Draw18.9%
Draw / Velez Sarsfield17.7%
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo12.7%
Draw / San Lorenzo9.6%
Questions about Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
Who is favourite in Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
The model gives Velez Sarsfield the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 38%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Velez Sarsfield find the net in 74% of simulated matches and San Lorenzo in 57%.
What time does Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo kick off?
Kick-off is 22:15 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.