CAF Confederation Cup
Kaizer ChiefsHomeDDLWL
1:0Half-time 0:0Penalties 2:3
Red ArrowsAwayWDWLD711910
Kaizer Chiefs winDrawRed Arrows win
Kaizer ChiefsHomeDDLWLRed ArrowsAwayWDWLD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.44 1.93 : 0.51
- Favourite
- 71% Kaizer Chiefs
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 34% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.23 | 4.80 | 11.50 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 2.60 | 1.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kaizer Chiefs to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows are 1.23 for Kaizer Chiefs at 1xBet, 4.80 for the draw at 1xBet and 11.50 for Red Arrows at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.60 (1xBet) and no 1.42 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Kaizer Chiefs to win
Double chanceKaizer Chiefs or draw
91% chance-
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.75
BTTSNot both teams to score
66% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.95fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kaizer Chiefs, full-time Kaizer Chiefs
47% chance2.13fair
Kaizer Chiefs v Red Arrows head to head
0Kaizer Chiefs wins
0Draws
1Red Arrows wins
- 17 Oct 26Red Arrows1:0Kaizer Chiefs
1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: Kaizer Chiefs scored 0, Red Arrows scored 1.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction, who wins and at what price
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction for the CAF Confederation Cup on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Kaizer Chiefs the clear favourite at 71%, with the draw at 19% and Red Arrows at 9%.
Kaizer Chiefs are expected to score 1.93 and Red Arrows 0.51, so the total line is 2.44 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 34%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is kaizer Chiefs to win at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 10 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows.
Kaizer Chiefs or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 91% chance, priced -.
With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Kaizer Chiefs have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 4 conceded, Red Arrows 2 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 2.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 44%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 56% and under 3.5 is 77%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 34%. Kaizer Chiefs score in 86% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Red Arrows; Red Arrows score in 40% while Kaizer Chiefs shut them out 60% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 16.8%, followed by 2-0 (16.2%) and 3-0 (10.4%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kaizer Chiefs, full-time Kaizer Chiefs leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Kaizer Chiefs to win71%1.23
Draw19%4.80
Red Arrows to win9%11.50
Kaizer Chiefs, draw no bet88%fair 1.13
Red Arrows, draw no bet12%fair 8.62
Double chance
Kaizer Chiefs or draw91%-
Red Arrows or draw29%3.39
Kaizer Chiefs or Red Arrows (no draw)81%1.11
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%1.93
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.33
Under 2.5 goals56%1.75
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score34%2.60
Not both teams to score66%1.42
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.33
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Kaizer Chiefs to score86%fair 1.17
Red Arrows to score40%fair 2.50
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet60%fair 1.67
Red Arrows clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Kaizer Chiefs to win to nil55%fair 1.81
Red Arrows to win to nil9%fair 11.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-016.8%
2-016.2%
3-010.4%
0-08.7%
1-18.6%
2-18.3%
Half-time / full-time
Kaizer Chiefs / Kaizer Chiefs46.9%
Draw / Kaizer Chiefs22.5%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Red Arrows / Red Arrows4.5%
Draw / Red Arrows3.9%
Questions about Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows
Who will win Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
The model gives Kaizer Chiefs the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows?
The BTTS yes line is rated 34%. Kaizer Chiefs find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Red Arrows in 40%.
What time does Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows kick off?
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows starts at 16:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.