Süper Lig
Round 8 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
KocaelisporHomeLLWWD
1:2Half-time 0:1
GöztepeAwayDWWWW323038
Kocaelispor winDrawGöztepe win
Süper Lig
Round 8 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
KocaelisporHomeLLWWDGöztepeAwayDWWWW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.19 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 38% Göztepe
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.44 | 2.53 | 2.12 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Göztepe to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction: Kocaelispor 2.90 (1xBet), draw 3.44 (1xBet), Göztepe 2.53 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 97%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Kocaelispor or Göztepe (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Göztepe, full-time Göztepe
23% chance4.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fair
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction and best bet
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe prediction for the Süper Lig on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model calls it close, Kocaelispor 32%, draw 30%, Göztepe 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 2.49 in total, split 1.19 to Kocaelispor and 1.30 to Göztepe. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe is kocaelispor or Göztepe (no draw), a 70% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Kocaelispor average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Göztepe 2.4 and 0.8 across 5.
How many goals in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.79.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Kocaelispor scoring in 70% of runs and Göztepe in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Kocaelispor and 30% for Göztepe.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 0-1 at 10.8% and 1-0 at 9.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Göztepe, full-time Göztepe leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 30% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Kocaelispor to win32%2.90
Draw30%3.44
Göztepe to win38%2.53
Kocaelispor, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
Göztepe, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Double chance
Kocaelispor or draw62%1.57
Göztepe or draw68%1.46
Kocaelispor or Göztepe (no draw)70%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.12
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.79
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Kocaelispor to score70%fair 1.44
Göztepe to score73%fair 1.38
Kocaelispor clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Göztepe clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Kocaelispor to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Göztepe to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
0-110.8%
1-09.9%
1-28.3%
0-08.3%
2-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
Göztepe / Göztepe22.9%
Kocaelispor / Kocaelispor19.4%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / Göztepe14.2%
Draw / Kocaelispor12.6%
Questions about Kocaelispor vs Göztepe
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
The model gives Göztepe the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Kocaelispor find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Göztepe in 73%.
What time does Kocaelispor vs Göztepe kick off?
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe starts at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.