Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction

Our Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction and pick

Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction for the Süper Lig on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Fenerbahçe the clear favourite at 77%, with the draw at 14% and Alanyaspor at 9%.

The goal expectancy is 3.44 in total, split 2.66 to Fenerbahçe and 0.78 to Alanyaspor. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is fenerbahçe to win at 77%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 2 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, fenerbahçe or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.06.

With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Fenerbahçe average 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Alanyaspor 1.4 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor reads 86% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 66%, best priced 1.42 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. Fenerbahçe score in 93% of simulations against a 7% clean sheet for Alanyaspor; Alanyaspor score in 54% while Fenerbahçe shut them out 46% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.3%, then 3-0 at 10.1% and 2-1 at 8.8%.

With the top scoreline at 11.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fenerbahçe, full-time Fenerbahçe leads at 54%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.