Süper Lig
Round 8 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
BaşakşehirHomeWDWLW
2:1Half-time 1:0
Gaziantep FKAwayLLLWL602119
Başakşehir winDrawGaziantep FK win
Süper Lig
Round 8 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
BaşakşehirHomeWDWLWGaziantep FKAwayLLLWL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.40 2.20 : 1.20
- Favourite
- 60% Başakşehir
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.70 | 4.38 | 4.68 | 1.44 | 2.42 | 1.51 | 2.39 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Başakşehir to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction: Başakşehir 1.70 (1xBet), draw 4.38 (1xBet), Gaziantep FK 4.68 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.44 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.42 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (1xBet) and no 2.39 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
60%
Our prediction
Başakşehir to win
Double chanceBaşakşehir or draw
81% chance1.22
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.44
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Başakşehir, full-time Başakşehir
39% chance2.55fair
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction and best bet
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction for the Süper Lig on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Başakşehir a narrow favourite at 60%, with the draw at 21% and Gaziantep FK at 19%.
Expected goals are 2.20 for Başakşehir and 1.20 for Gaziantep FK, a total of 3.40, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Başakşehir to win is the main selection, rated 60%. At 1.70 with 1xBet the market prices it at 59%, against 60% from the model.
For a safer line, başakşehir or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.22.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Başakşehir have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Gaziantep FK 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 10.
Goals forecast for Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.44.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. Başakşehir score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Gaziantep FK; Gaziantep FK score in 70% while Başakşehir shut them out 30% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK: 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Başakşehir, full-time Başakşehir is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market for Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK
The grid built from 2.20 and 1.20 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Başakşehir to win60%1.70
Draw21%4.38
Gaziantep FK to win19%4.68
Başakşehir, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Gaziantep FK, draw no bet24%fair 4.10
Double chance
Başakşehir or draw81%1.22
Gaziantep FK or draw41%2.26
Başakşehir or Gaziantep FK (no draw)79%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.44
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.26
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.80
Under 2.5 goals35%2.42
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.79
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.51
Not both teams to score37%2.39
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.21
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Başakşehir to score89%fair 1.12
Gaziantep FK to score70%fair 1.43
Başakşehir clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Gaziantep FK clean sheet11%fair 9.01
Başakşehir to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Gaziantep FK to win to nil10%fair 9.80
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.7%
1-18.8%
2-08.1%
1-07.3%
3-17.1%
3-05.9%
Half-time / full-time
Başakşehir / Başakşehir39.2%
Draw / Başakşehir17.2%
Gaziantep FK / Gaziantep FK11.3%
Draw / Draw10.6%
Draw / Gaziantep FK7.1%
Questions about Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir or Gaziantep FK: which side does the model back?
The model gives Başakşehir the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Başakşehir find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Gaziantep FK in 70%.
What time does Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK kick off?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.