Süper Lig
Round 9 Friday, 23 October 2026
FT
AlanyasporHomeWDLLW
1:2Half-time 0:2
KocaelisporAwayLLWWD482923
Alanyaspor winDrawKocaelispor win
Süper Lig
Round 9 Friday, 23 October 2026
FT
AlanyasporHomeWDLLWKocaelisporAwayLLWWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.37 1.44 : 0.93
- Favourite
- 48% Alanyaspor
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.38 | 4.15 | 2.33 | 1.66 | 1.98 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Alanyaspor to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Alanyaspor price at 2.02, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have Kocaelispor longest at 4.15.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.33 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.66 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.98 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Alanyaspor or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.66
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alanyaspor, full-time Alanyaspor
29% chance3.40fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction, who wins and at what price
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction for the Süper Lig on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Alanyaspor a narrow favourite at 48%, with the draw at 29% and Kocaelispor at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 2.37 in total, split 1.44 to Alanyaspor and 0.93 to Kocaelispor. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor is alanyaspor or draw, a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor.
Form check: Alanyaspor have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 7 conceded, Kocaelispor 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.66.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Alanyaspor scoring in 76% of runs and Kocaelispor in 61%; clean sheets come at 40% for Alanyaspor and 24% for Kocaelispor.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: 1-0 (13.5%), 1-1 (12.5%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Alanyaspor, full-time Alanyaspor leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
The grid built from 1.44 and 0.93 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Alanyaspor to win48%2.02
Draw29%3.38
Kocaelispor to win23%4.15
Alanyaspor, draw no bet67%fair 1.48
Kocaelispor, draw no bet33%fair 3.07
Double chance
Alanyaspor or draw77%1.26
Kocaelispor or draw52%1.86
Alanyaspor or Kocaelispor (no draw)71%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 2.5 goals58%1.66
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.98
Not both teams to score53%1.74
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.46
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Alanyaspor to score76%fair 1.31
Kocaelispor to score61%fair 1.65
Alanyaspor clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Kocaelispor clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Alanyaspor to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Kocaelispor to win to nil21%fair 4.69
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.5%
1-112.5%
2-09.7%
0-09.3%
2-19%
0-18.7%
Half-time / full-time
Alanyaspor / Alanyaspor29.4%
Draw / Draw17.5%
Draw / Alanyaspor17.3%
Kocaelispor / Kocaelispor13.4%
Draw / Kocaelispor9.6%
Questions about Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor or Kocaelispor: which side does the model back?
The model gives Alanyaspor the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Alanyaspor find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Kocaelispor in 61%.
What time does Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor kick off?
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor starts at 17:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.