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Türkiye Kupası 3rd Round Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
KocaelisporHomeLLWWD
3:0Half-time 1:0
Mazıdağı FosfatsporAwayWL
9541
Kocaelispor winDrawMazıdağı Fosfatspor win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
4.42
3.99 : 0.43
Favourite
95%
Kocaelispor
Over 2.5 goals
79%
model chance
Both teams to score
33%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.0212.5036.001.213.902.831.38Bet
22Bet1.0311.8035.00----Bet
BC.Game1.0310.0030.001.204.10--Bet
Betwinner1.0311.8035.00--2.721.40Bet
Melbet1.0311.8035.00----Bet
Stake1.0311.0035.00----Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Kocaelispor to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Kocaelispor price at 1.03, 1xBet lead the draw at 12.50 and 1xBet have Mazıdağı Fosfatspor longest at 36.00.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.21 (1xBet) and under 2.5 4.10 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.83 (1xBet) and no 1.40 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

95%

Our prediction

Kocaelispor to win
BankerExpected goals 3.99 : 0.43-2.4% against the best price
Double chanceKocaelispor or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
79% chance1.21
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.40
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.08fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kocaelispor, full-time Kocaelispor
76% chance1.32fair

Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor prediction

Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor prediction, who wins and at what price

Kocaelispor are a strong favourite in the Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor prediction, rated 95% to win this Türkiye Kupası match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Mazıdağı Fosfatspor sit at 1% and the draw at 4%.

Kocaelispor are expected to score 3.99 and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0.43, so the total line is 4.42 goals; over 2.5 lands at 79% and BTTS at 33%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Kocaelispor to win is the main selection, rated 95%. The best price in our comparison is 1.03 at Melbet, which implies 97%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Kocaelispor or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 99% chance, priced -.

With the draw down at 4%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Goals forecast for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 93%, over 2.5 at 79%, over 3.5 at 64%; under 2.5 is 21% and under 3.5 is 36%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 79%, best priced 1.21 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 33%. Kocaelispor score in 98% of simulations against a 2% clean sheet for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score in 35% while Kocaelispor shut them out 65% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: 3-0 (12.7%), 4-0 (12.7%) and 5-0 (10.1%).

With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kocaelispor, full-time Kocaelispor leads at 76%. A goal before the break is rated 86%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

The grid built from 3.99 and 0.43 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Kocaelispor to win95%1.03
Draw4%12.50
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor to win1%36.00
Kocaelispor, draw no bet99%fair 1.02
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor, draw no bet2%fair 66.67

Double chance

Kocaelispor or draw99%-
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor or draw5%9.28
Kocaelispor or Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (no draw)96%-

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 2.5 goals79%1.21
Over 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Over 4.5 goals45%fair 2.25
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 13.70
Under 2.5 goals21%4.10
Under 3.5 goals36%fair 2.75

BTTS

Both teams to score33%2.83
Not both teams to score67%1.40

Halves

First-half goal86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 first-half goals59%fair 1.69
Second-half goal91%fair 1.10

Team goals

Kocaelispor to score98%fair 1.02
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor to score35%fair 2.87
Kocaelispor clean sheet65%fair 1.54
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor clean sheet2%fair 55.56
Kocaelispor to win to nil60%fair 1.67
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor to win to nil1%fair 76.92

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

3-012.7%
4-012.7%
5-010.1%
2-09.6%
3-15.5%
4-15.5%

Half-time / full-time

Kocaelispor / Kocaelispor75.9%
Draw / Kocaelispor15.5%
Draw / Draw2.6%
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor / Kocaelispor1.9%
Kocaelispor / Draw0.9%

Questions about Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

The model gives Kocaelispor the best chance at 95%, with the draw at 4%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor correct score: what does the model say?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 79%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

The BTTS yes line is rated 33%. Kocaelispor find the net in 98% of simulated matches and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor in 35%.

When do Kocaelispor play Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı FosfatsporKocaelispor to win, 95%
1.03Bet