Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction, who wins and at what price

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction for the Süper Lig on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model calls it close, Kasımpaşa 38%, draw 30%, Samsunspor 31%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.33 for Kasımpaşa and 1.18 for Samsunspor, a total of 2.51, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Kasımpaşa or Samsunspor (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Kasımpaşa have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 7 conceded, Samsunspor 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 15.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.84 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Kasımpaşa scoring in 74% of runs and Samsunspor in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Kasımpaşa and 26% for Samsunspor.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 1-0 at 10.8% and 0-1 at 9.6%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Kasımpaşa, full-time Kasımpaşa is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.