Süper Lig
Round 9 Monday, 26 October 2026
FT
GalatasarayHomeLWWWW
2:1Half-time 2:0
FenerbahçeAwayLWDLL472429
Galatasaray winDrawFenerbahçe win
Süper Lig
Round 9 Monday, 26 October 2026
FT
GalatasarayHomeLWWWWFenerbahçeAwayLWDLL- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.30 1.87 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 47% Galatasaray
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.94 | 3.56 | 1.52 | 2.48 | 1.44 | 2.58 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.95 | 4.02 | 3.42 | 1.48 | 2.66 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.98 | 3.80 | 3.25 | 1.47 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.72 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.95 | 4.02 | 3.42 | 1.48 | 2.66 | 1.45 | 2.76 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.95 | 4.02 | 3.42 | 1.48 | 2.66 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.15 | 1.47 | 2.44 | 1.45 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Galatasaray to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe are 2.01 for Galatasaray at 1xBet, 4.02 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.56 for Fenerbahçe at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.52 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.66 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (Stake) and no 2.82 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Galatasaray or Fenerbahçe (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.52
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Galatasaray, full-time Galatasaray
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.29fair
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction, who wins and at what price
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction for the Süper Lig on Monday, 26 October 2026: the model makes Galatasaray marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 24% and Fenerbahçe at 29%.
Galatasaray are expected to score 1.87 and Fenerbahçe 1.43, so the total line is 3.30 goals; over 2.5 lands at 64% and BTTS at 66%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is galatasaray or Fenerbahçe (no draw) at 76%. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 76% from the model.
Over the last 5 matches Galatasaray stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Fenerbahçe show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 1xBet pay 1.52.
Both teams to score is 66%: Galatasaray find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Fenerbahçe in 76%. Galatasaray keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Fenerbahçe 15%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.9%, then 2-1 at 9.2% and 1-2 at 7.1%.
With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Galatasaray, full-time Galatasaray is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
All markets, Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 24% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Galatasaray to win47%2.01
Draw24%4.02
Fenerbahçe to win29%3.56
Galatasaray, draw no bet62%fair 1.61
Fenerbahçe, draw no bet38%fair 2.65
Double chance
Galatasaray or draw71%1.33
Fenerbahçe or draw53%1.87
Galatasaray or Fenerbahçe (no draw)76%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%1.52
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.38
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.22
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 2.5 goals36%2.66
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.45
Not both teams to score34%2.82
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Galatasaray to score85%fair 1.18
Fenerbahçe to score76%fair 1.31
Galatasaray clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Fenerbahçe clean sheet15%fair 6.49
Galatasaray to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Fenerbahçe to win to nil14%fair 7.04
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.9%
2-19.2%
1-27.1%
1-06.9%
2-26.6%
2-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Galatasaray / Galatasaray29.9%
Fenerbahçe / Fenerbahçe17.3%
Draw / Galatasaray14.8%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Draw / Fenerbahçe10%
Questions about Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe
Who is favourite in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Galatasaray the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Galatasaray find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Fenerbahçe in 76%.
What time does Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe kick off?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.