Ligi kuu Bara
Coastal UnionHomeLWLWD
1:0Half-time 1:0
Kagera SugarAwayWDLLL532621
Coastal Union winDrawKagera Sugar win
Coastal UnionHomeLWLWDKagera SugarAwayWDLLL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.40 1.54 : 0.86
- Favourite
- 53% Coastal Union
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.76 | 3.39 | 4.07 | 2.14 | 1.60 | 1.99 | 1.69 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.76 | 3.39 | 4.07 | 2.14 | 1.60 | 1.99 | 1.69 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.76 | 3.39 | 4.07 | 2.14 | 1.60 | 1.99 | 1.69 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Coastal Union to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar prediction: Coastal Union 1.76 (22Bet), draw 3.39 (22Bet), Kagera Sugar 4.07 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.14 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.60 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.99 (22Bet) and no 1.69 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
53%
Our prediction
Coastal Union to win
Double chanceCoastal Union or draw
79% chance1.16
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.60
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Coastal Union, full-time Coastal Union
33% chance3.07fair
Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar prediction
Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar prediction, who wins and at what price
Coastal Union are a narrow favourite in the Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar prediction, rated 53% to win this Ligi kuu Bara match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kagera Sugar sit at 21% and the draw at 26%.
Coastal Union are expected to score 1.54 and Kagera Sugar 0.86, so the total line is 2.40 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is coastal Union to win at 53%. The best price in our comparison is 1.76 at 22Bet, which implies 57%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Coastal Union or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.16.
Coastal Union average 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Kagera Sugar 0.8 and 1.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.60 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 46%. Coastal Union score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Kagera Sugar; Kagera Sugar score in 58% while Coastal Union shut them out 42% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (10.8%).
With the top scoreline at 14%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Coastal Union, full-time Coastal Union is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Coastal Union to win53%1.76
Draw26%3.39
Kagera Sugar to win21%4.07
Coastal Union, draw no bet72%fair 1.40
Kagera Sugar, draw no bet29%fair 3.51
Double chance
Coastal Union or draw79%1.16
Kagera Sugar or draw47%1.85
Coastal Union or Kagera Sugar (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.14
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals57%1.60
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score46%1.99
Not both teams to score54%1.69
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Coastal Union to score79%fair 1.27
Kagera Sugar to score58%fair 1.73
Coastal Union clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Kagera Sugar clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Coastal Union to win to nil39%fair 2.57
Kagera Sugar to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014%
1-112%
2-010.8%
2-19.3%
0-09.1%
0-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
Coastal Union / Coastal Union32.6%
Draw / Coastal Union18.4%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Kagera Sugar / Kagera Sugar11.4%
Draw / Kagera Sugar8.4%
Questions about Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar
Coastal Union or Kagera Sugar: which side does the model back?
The model gives Coastal Union the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Coastal Union find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Kagera Sugar in 58%.
When is Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.