Copa Libertadores
FlamengoHomeDWDWW
0:0Half-time 0:0Penalties 2:3
Estudiantes L.P.AwayDLDLD72208
Flamengo winDrawEstudiantes L.P. win
FlamengoHomeDWDWWEstudiantes L.P.AwayDLDLD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.39 1.90 : 0.49
- Favourite
- 72% Flamengo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 33% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.04 | 12.20 | 2.15 | 1.74 | 2.72 | 1.40 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Flamengo to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Flamengo price at 1.31, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.04 and 1xBet have Estudiantes L.P. longest at 12.20.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.74 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.72 (1xBet) and no 1.40 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Flamengo to win
Double chanceFlamengo or draw
92% chance1.04
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.74
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.40
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Flamengo, full-time Flamengo
47% chance2.14fair
Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. head to head
0Flamengo wins
1Draw
0Estudiantes L.P. wins
- 16 Oct 26Estudiantes L.P.0:0Flamengo
1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: Flamengo scored 0, Estudiantes L.P. scored 0.
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction, who wins and at what price
Flamengo host Estudiantes L.P. on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Copa Libertadores, and the model has Flamengo at 72%, the draw at 20% and Estudiantes L.P. at 8%: that is the Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.90 for Flamengo and 0.49 for Estudiantes L.P., a total of 2.39, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 33%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. is flamengo to win, a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Flamengo or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.04.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Flamengo average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 and 1.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 33%: Flamengo find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Estudiantes L.P. in 39%. Flamengo keep a clean sheet 61% of the time and Estudiantes L.P. 15%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.: 1-0 (17.4%), 2-0 (16.5%) and 3-0 (10.5%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Flamengo, full-time Flamengo leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P., all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Flamengo to win72%1.31
Draw20%5.04
Estudiantes L.P. to win8%12.20
Flamengo, draw no bet90%fair 1.12
Estudiantes L.P., draw no bet11%fair 9.52
Double chance
Flamengo or draw92%1.04
Estudiantes L.P. or draw28%3.57
Flamengo or Estudiantes L.P. (no draw)80%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.15
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals58%1.74
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score33%2.72
Not both teams to score67%1.40
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Flamengo to score85%fair 1.18
Estudiantes L.P. to score39%fair 2.58
Flamengo clean sheet61%fair 1.63
Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet15%fair 6.67
Flamengo to win to nil56%fair 1.77
Estudiantes L.P. to win to nil8%fair 12.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-017.4%
2-016.5%
3-010.5%
0-09.2%
1-18.5%
2-18.1%
Half-time / full-time
Flamengo / Flamengo46.7%
Draw / Flamengo22.7%
Draw / Draw14.3%
Estudiantes L.P. / Estudiantes L.P.4.4%
Draw / Estudiantes L.P.3.9%
Questions about Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.
Who will win Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model gives Flamengo the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The BTTS yes line is rated 33%. Flamengo find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Estudiantes L.P. in 39%.
When do Flamengo play Estudiantes L.P.?
Kick-off is 00:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.