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Copa Libertadores Semi-finals Friday, 16 October 2026 FT
Estudiantes L.P.HomeDLDLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
FlamengoAwayDWDWW
223147
Estudiantes L.P. winDrawFlamengo win
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct
Expected goals
2.04
0.79 : 1.25
Favourite
47%
Flamengo
Over 2.5 goals
33%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.333.042.072.621.382.311.55Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Flamengo to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Estudiantes L.P. price at 4.33, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.04 and 1xBet have Flamengo longest at 2.07.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.62 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.31 (1xBet) and no 1.55 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

78%

Our prediction

Flamengo or draw
StrongExpected goals 0.79 : 1.25-4.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.38
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.65fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Flamengo, full-time Flamengo
28% chance3.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.66fair

Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo head to head

0Estudiantes L.P. wins
1Draw
0Flamengo wins
  • 23 Oct 26Flamengo0:0Estudiantes L.P.

1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: Estudiantes L.P. scored 0, Flamengo scored 0.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction, who wins and at what price

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction for the Copa Libertadores on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model makes Flamengo marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 31% and Estudiantes L.P. at 22%.

Estudiantes L.P. are expected to score 0.79 and Flamengo 1.25, so the total line is 2.04 goals; over 2.5 lands at 33% and BTTS at 40%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo is flamengo or draw, a 78% chance. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 78% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo.

A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Estudiantes L.P. stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Flamengo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 61%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.38.

The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Estudiantes L.P. scoring in 55% of runs and Flamengo in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Estudiantes L.P. and 45% for Flamengo.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 16.3%, followed by 0-0 (13%) and 1-1 (12.8%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Flamengo, full-time Flamengo leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 22% / 31% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Estudiantes L.P. to win22%4.33
Draw31%3.04
Flamengo to win47%2.07
Estudiantes L.P., draw no bet32%fair 3.10
Flamengo, draw no bet68%fair 1.48

Double chance

Estudiantes L.P. or draw54%1.79
Flamengo or draw78%1.23
Estudiantes L.P. or Flamengo (no draw)69%1.40

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%2.62
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.67
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.86
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Under 2.5 goals67%1.38
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18

BTTS

Both teams to score40%2.31
Not both teams to score60%1.55

Halves

First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.27
Second-half goal67%fair 1.48

Team goals

Estudiantes L.P. to score55%fair 1.83
Flamengo to score71%fair 1.40
Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Flamengo clean sheet45%fair 2.20
Estudiantes L.P. to win to nil20%fair 4.90
Flamengo to win to nil42%fair 2.39

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

0-116.3%
0-013%
1-112.8%
1-010.3%
0-210.2%
1-28%

Half-time / full-time

Flamengo / Flamengo27.7%
Draw / Draw20.8%
Draw / Flamengo17.7%
Estudiantes L.P. / Estudiantes L.P.12.7%
Draw / Estudiantes L.P.9.8%

Questions about Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo

Who is favourite in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

The model gives Flamengo the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 33% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Estudiantes L.P. find the net in 55% of simulated matches and Flamengo in 71%.

When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo and where is the result shown?

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo starts at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Estudiantes L.P. v FlamengoFlamengo or draw, 78%
1.23Bet