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Live 11 UTC
Scotland Championship Round 14 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
Raith RoversHomeWWDLW
Fri 6 Nov
DunfermlineAwayDDWWW
363133
Raith Rovers winDrawDunfermline win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.32
1.18 : 1.14
Favourite
36%
Raith Rovers
Over 2.5 goals
41%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.552.992.552.101.631.831.86Bet
22Bet2.552.992.552.101.631.831.86Bet
BC.Game2.603.052.602.101.671.791.85Bet
Betwinner2.552.992.552.101.631.831.86Bet
Melbet2.552.992.552.101.631.831.86Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Raith Rovers to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline are 2.60 for Raith Rovers at BC.Game, 3.05 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.60 for Dunfermline at BC.Game.

The best-price payout across the three results is 91.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.10 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.67 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (Betwinner) and no 1.86 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

70%

Our prediction

Raith Rovers or Dunfermline (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.18 : 1.14-9.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Raith Rovers, full-time Raith Rovers
21% chance4.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline prediction

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline prediction for Friday, 6 November 2026: 36% home, 31% draw and 34% away in the Scotland Championship. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Raith Rovers are expected to score 1.18 and Dunfermline 1.14, so the total line is 2.32 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 49%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Raith Rovers or Dunfermline (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.30 with BC.Game the market prices it at 77%, against 70% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Raith Rovers have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 4 conceded, Dunfermline 3 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 2.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline

On the goal lines Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline reads 67% for over 1.5, 41% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 59%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.67 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Raith Rovers scoring in 69% of runs and Dunfermline in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Raith Rovers and 31% for Dunfermline.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.2%, then 1-0 at 11.6% and 0-1 at 11.2%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Raith Rovers, full-time Raith Rovers leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 31% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Raith Rovers to win36%2.60
Draw31%3.05
Dunfermline to win34%2.60
Raith Rovers, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Dunfermline, draw no bet49%fair 2.05

Double chance

Raith Rovers or draw66%1.40
Dunfermline or draw64%1.40
Raith Rovers or Dunfermline (no draw)70%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.10
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 2.5 goals59%1.67
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.26

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.83
Not both teams to score52%1.86

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.57
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Raith Rovers to score69%fair 1.44
Dunfermline to score68%fair 1.47
Raith Rovers clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Dunfermline clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Raith Rovers to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Dunfermline to win to nil28%fair 3.53

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-011.6%
0-111.2%
0-09.8%
2-17.8%
1-27.5%

Half-time / full-time

Raith Rovers / Raith Rovers21.2%
Dunfermline / Dunfermline19.9%
Draw / Draw18.4%
Draw / Raith Rovers13.8%
Draw / Dunfermline13.2%

Questions about Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline

Raith Rovers or Dunfermline: which side does the model back?

The model gives Raith Rovers the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 41%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Raith Rovers find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Dunfermline in 68%.

When is Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline and where is the result shown?

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline starts at 19:30 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Raith Rovers v DunfermlineRaith Rovers or Dunfermline (no draw), 70%
1.30Bet